Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.7% | 92.3% | +17.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.0% | 91.0% | +25.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +26 (79-53). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Saric * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +2.4 |
| Alana Powell * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Nyodie Guerard * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jayla Koser * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Lenora Nkangwen * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Eva Andrews | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Wesleigh Ferguson | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kiyla Fowler | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4.3 |
| Karmen McDuffie | 14 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +5.6 |
| Thelma Barbitch | 7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -0.4 |
| Rachael Chilicki | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.5 |
| Severyn Ferrara Horne | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.6 |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiara Bellamy * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Heidi Williams * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Kennedy Austin * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Alaina Williams * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Angela Williams * | 21 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | +13.6 |
| Dagny Slomack | 23 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Shariah Baynes | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -11.9 |
| Alden Yergey | 12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -9.7 |
| Gabby Scott | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Maisie Crowley | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Syd Sutton | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Jeanine Brandsma | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Cai Roberson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.3 |
* = starter