Model Predictions
| Model | Hampton Lady Pirates | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | +17.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +15.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +12 (66-54). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Hampton Lady Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaryn Battle * | 38 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Kiki McElrath * | 37 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Maya Woodson * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -10.7 |
| Zoey Rixter * | 23 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -8.8 |
| Arlisha Boston * | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Justus Fitzgerald | 23 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Amiyah Donaldson | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Kennedy Hall | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +4.0 |
| Nilah Rivera | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.7 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adja Kane * | 31 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | +24.8 |
| Mailien Rolf * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +4.6 |
| Theresa Hagans Jr. * | 27 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +11.1 |
| Grace Ezebilo * | 26 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 18 | +13.6 |
| Zahra King * | 16 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Shania James | 21 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | +7.5 |
| Izela Arenas | 16 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Kaylin Jackson | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -6.6 |
| Camille Nesmith | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -10.3 |
| Kinsea Grimes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Elise Hill | 5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +0.1 |
* = starter