Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Princeton Tigers | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
27.2% (#35) | 72.8% (#30) | Princet... -3.5 | 64-67 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
31.4% (#26) | 68.6% (#39) | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
25.1% (#33) | 74.9% (#32) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
60.2% (#30) | 39.8% (#58) | Villano... -4.6 | - |
| Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
59.3% (#30) | 40.7% (#58) | Villano... -4.2 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
43.9% (#84) | 56.1% (#77) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
53.6% (#58) | 46.4% (#62) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
54.5% (#57) | 45.5% (#62) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
40.9% (#39) | 59.1% (#80) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
35.7% (#58) | 64.3% (#83) | - | - |
| Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
55.4% (#35) | 44.6% (#60) | - | - |
| Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
54.3% (#35) | 45.7% (#60) | - | - |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
46.2% (#31) | 53.8% (#34) | - | - |
| Adjusted Context Blend
2026-27 ratings to date
|
65.1% (#30) | 34.9% (#49) | - | - |
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 5.2 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.4-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 131 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Villanova Wildcats | Princeton Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 3 |
| PPG | 75.0 | 68.0 |
| FG% | 41.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 27.9% |
| FT% | 72.7% | 86.8% |
| RPG | 36.0 | 36.7 |
| APG | 17.0 | 14.0 |
| SPG | 6.0 | 6.3 |
| BPG | 1.0 | 3.3 |
| TOPG | 13.0 | 10.7 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Villanova Wildcats | Princeton Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 101.5 | 104.9 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 98.5 | 95.1 |
| Adj. Net Eff | 3.1 | 9.9 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Villanova Wildcats Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Bascoe | 26.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 38.0 |
| Kennedy Henry | 8.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 32.0 |
| Alexis Eberz | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 |
| Elise Bender | 14.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 |
| Dani Ceseretti | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 |
Princeton Tigers Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skye Belker | 15.0 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 37.0 |
| Fadima Tall | 23.7 | 13.3 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 33.0 |
| Olivia Hutcherson | 11.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 32.0 |
| Ashley Chea | 6.7 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 31.0 |
| Grace O'Sullivan | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 27.0 |