Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | -0.3 | ✗ (14.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.0% | 37.0% | -5.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -15 (78-93). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajsa Sivka * | 37 | 11-17 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 21 | +29.5 |
| Asia Boone * | 33 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Clara Strack * | 29 | 10-15 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Diana Collins * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | +8.3 |
| Me'Arah O'Neal * | 20 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Savvy Swords | 27 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +6.7 |
| Emily McDonald | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +8.7 |
| Ayanna Patterson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Maddyn Greenway | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -1.7 |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desiree Wooten * | 39 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Khamil Pierre * | 35 | 12-25 | 1-2 | 9-13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 16 | - |
| Destiny Lunan * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -8.1 |
| Zoe Brooks * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Maddie Cox * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Qadence Samuels | 31 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Khady Leye | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -3.8 |
| Kamora Pruitt | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Annsley Trivette | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.3 |
* = starter