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2026-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Richmond Spiders Temple Owls Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
33.5% (#138) 66.5% (#130) Temple Owls -3.2 73-77
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
17.8% (#140) 82.2% (#130) - -
Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
18.4% (#141) 81.6% (#134) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
52.2% (#128) 47.8% (#250) Richmon... -1.0 -
Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
52.3% (#129) 47.7% (#256) Richmon... -1.0 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
51.6% (#116) 48.4% (#119) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
54.7% (#127) 45.3% (#145) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
55.0% (#127) 45.0% (#145) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
28.0% (#139) 72.0% (#166) - -
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
28.4% (#146) 71.6% (#187) - -
Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
47.2% (#132) 52.8% (#155) - -
Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
47.4% (#132) 52.6% (#155) - -
Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
43.8% (#138) 56.2% (#130) - -
Adjusted Context BlendPrior-only ranking with no forecast

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Richmond Spiders Temple Owls
Games 2 1
PPG 103.5 68.0
FG% 60.2% 45.8%
3PT% 52.1% 26.7%
FT% 66.7% 60.0%
RPG 37.0 39.0
APG 25.5 15.0
SPG 15.0 10.0
BPG 5.5 7.0
TOPG 11.5 10.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Richmond Spiders Temple Owls
Adj. Off Eff 104.2 98.9
Adj. Def Eff 95.8 101.1
Adj. Net Eff 8.5 -2.2

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Richmond Spiders Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Aiden Argabright 7.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 0.0 25.0
Derin Saran 9.0 5.0 7.5 3.5 0.0 24.5
Jamie Kaiser Jr. 15.5 4.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 24.0
Dominick Stewart 23.0 4.0 2.5 1.5 0.0 24.0
A. Dörries 9.0 4.5 5.5 0.5 3.0 22.0

Temple Owls Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jordan Marsh 16.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 30.0
Baboucarr Njie 8.0 12.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 30.0
Gavin Griffiths 11.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 29.0
Cam Scott 7.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 24.0
Dez White 6.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 24.0