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2026-11-10

Model Predictions

Model San Diego Toreros Colorado Buffaloes Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
19.4% (#165) 80.6% (#101) Colorad... -9.0 71-80
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
12.6% (#171) 87.4% (#108) - -
Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
16.4% (#166) 83.6% (#120) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
23.7% (#179) 76.3% (#126) Colorad... -12.9 -
Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
24.1% (#181) 75.9% (#127) Colorad... -12.6 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
25.6% (#154) 74.4% (#99) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
32.1% (#154) 67.9% (#85) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
31.8% (#154) 68.2% (#85) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
17.0% (#186) 83.0% (#121) - -
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
19.3% (#193) 80.7% (#129) - -
Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
28.4% (#163) 71.6% (#110) - -
Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
29.0% (#164) 71.0% (#108) - -
Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
35.5% (#154) 64.5% (#104) - -
Adjusted Context BlendPrior-only ranking with no forecast

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat San Diego Toreros Colorado Buffaloes
Games 2 2
PPG 87.5 80.0
FG% 43.9% 48.7%
3PT% 37.2% 43.2%
FT% 82.3% 64.4%
RPG 38.0 33.0
APG 18.0 13.0
SPG 7.0 9.5
BPG 2.0 3.0
TOPG 13.0 12.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric San Diego Toreros Colorado Buffaloes
Adj. Off Eff 101.1 105.5
Adj. Def Eff 98.9 94.5
Adj. Net Eff 2.2 11.0

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

San Diego Toreros Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Dusty Stromer 17.0 4.5 2.0 2.5 0.0 31.5
Jevon Hill 10.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 24.5
Davion Hill 12.5 3.0 4.0 0.5 0.0 24.5
Chace Holley 11.5 4.0 3.0 1.5 0.5 23.0
J. Tanchyn 6.5 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 21.0

Colorado Buffaloes Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Barrington Hargress 22.0 2.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 30.5
Noah Feddersen 5.5 5.0 0.0 1.5 1.0 27.5
Ian Inman 7.5 2.5 2.0 1.0 0.5 27.5
Josiah Sanders 11.0 3.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 26.0
Alex Dickeson 7.5 5.5 3.5 1.5 0.0 24.0