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2026-11-10

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Baylor Bears Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
9.2% (#148) 90.8% (#50) Baylor Bears -15.8 67-83
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
7.8% (#151) 92.2% (#52) - -
Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
12.2% (#153) 87.8% (#51) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
14.8% (#141) 85.2% (#49) Baylor Bears -19.2 -
Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
15.2% (#140) 84.8% (#49) Baylor Bears -18.9 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
5.0% (#157) 95.0% (#17) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
22.7% (#150) 77.3% (#37) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
22.2% (#152) 77.8% (#37) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
10.2% (#159) 89.8% (#37) - -
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
12.4% (#164) 87.6% (#32) - -
Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
17.8% (#149) 82.2% (#43) - -
Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
18.5% (#149) 81.5% (#42) - -
Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
25.0% (#150) 75.0% (#49) - -
Adjusted Context BlendPrior-only ranking with no forecast

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Yale Bulldogs Baylor Bears
Games 2 2
PPG 73.5 98.0
FG% 40.3% 48.2%
3PT% 34.7% 24.1%
FT% 85.7% 70.4%
RPG 42.5 46.5
APG 11.5 19.0
SPG 1.5 15.0
BPG 3.0 6.0
TOPG 12.5 12.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Yale Bulldogs Baylor Bears
Adj. Off Eff 100.2 108.3
Adj. Def Eff 99.8 91.7
Adj. Net Eff 0.3 16.5

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Yale Bulldogs Top Players

No player data available

Baylor Bears Top Players

No player data available