Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.7% | 98.3% | +29.8 | ✓ (26.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.0% | 100.0% | +46.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +56 (109-53). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Tatum * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Macaleab Rich * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Harrison Pickett * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Braylon Johnson * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeremy Nyakundi * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Creed Williamson | 31 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| CJ Smith | 21 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Jai'chaunn Hayes | 17 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| David Giddens | 11 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Kalli Johnson | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jahmari Hamilton-Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dominic Capriotti | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Decker Jr. * | 28 | 2-10 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Dylan Mingo * | 19 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Elijah Williams * | 18 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Kayden Mingo * | 16 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Juslin Bodo Bodo * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Isaac Williams IV | 25 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 11-12 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 28 | - |
| Isaac Celiscar | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Evan Chatman | 20 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Caden Powell | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Mayo Soyoye | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Maikcol Perez | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Andre Iguodala II | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Goodis | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tegra Makabu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Drew Perry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter