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2026-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Syracuse Orange Indiana Hoosiers Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
29.9% (#75) 70.1% (#58) Indiana... -4.5 73-77
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
16.9% (#76) 83.1% (#56) - -
Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
18.0% (#75) 82.0% (#56) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
39.4% (#48) 60.6% (#64) Indiana... -4.7 -
Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
39.5% (#47) 60.5% (#64) Indiana... -4.7 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
58.1% (#27) 41.9% (#37) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
56.4% (#41) 43.6% (#66) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
57.2% (#38) 42.8% (#67) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
27.9% (#46) 72.1% (#60) - -
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
28.6% (#37) 71.4% (#57) - -
Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
45.0% (#47) 55.0% (#60) - -
Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
45.2% (#47) 54.8% (#60) - -
Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
42.2% (#73) 57.8% (#55) - -
Adjusted Context BlendPrior-only ranking with no forecast

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Syracuse Orange Indiana Hoosiers
Games 2 2
PPG 88.0 91.5
FG% 51.7% 50.0%
3PT% 34.7% 36.2%
FT% 71.4% 73.7%
RPG 42.5 38.0
APG 17.5 14.5
SPG 9.0 8.0
BPG 4.5 3.0
TOPG 6.5 11.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Syracuse Orange Indiana Hoosiers
Adj. Off Eff 110.2 105.6
Adj. Def Eff 89.8 94.4
Adj. Net Eff 20.4 11.2

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Syracuse Orange Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Gavin Doty 16.0 9.0 2.0 1.5 0.0 30.0
Sadiq White Jr. 11.0 10.0 0.5 1.0 2.0 23.5
Luke Wilson 9.0 4.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 22.5
Ryan Moesch 3.0 1.5 6.0 2.0 0.0 22.0
Mark Morano 12.5 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 22.0

Indiana Hoosiers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Markus Burton 10.5 2.0 4.5 1.0 0.0 24.5
Aiden Sherrell 10.5 6.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 24.0
Jaeden Mustaf 6.5 3.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 23.5
Darren Harris 15.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 22.5
Bryce Lindsay 14.5 1.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 22.0