Model Predictions
| Model | Bryant Bulldogs | Providence Friars | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
3.6% (#302) | 96.4% (#57) | Provide... -23.7 | 63-87 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
5.2% (#311) | 94.8% (#59) | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
10.2% (#329) | 89.8% (#68) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
11.0% (#300) | 89.0% (#67) | Provide... -23.0 | - |
| Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
11.5% (#300) | 88.5% (#67) | Provide... -22.5 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
9.8% (#252) | 90.2% (#81) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
16.7% (#285) | 83.3% (#68) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
16.4% (#285) | 83.6% (#68) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
7.8% (#308) | 92.2% (#53) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
10.4% (#323) | 89.6% (#49) | - | - |
| Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
12.8% (#296) | 87.2% (#65) | - | - |
| Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
13.5% (#300) | 86.5% (#65) | - | - |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
17.3% (#307) | 82.7% (#70) | - | - |
| Adjusted Context Blend
2026-27 ratings to date
|
7.5% (#263) | 92.5% (#56) | - | - |
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Bryant Bulldogs | Providence Friars |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 |
| PPG | 65.0 | 70.5 |
| FG% | 37.8% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 25.7% | 25.0% |
| FT% | 60.0% | 72.7% |
| RPG | 39.3 | 38.0 |
| APG | 13.0 | 14.0 |
| SPG | 4.3 | 9.5 |
| BPG | 6.0 | 3.0 |
| TOPG | 15.3 | 13.0 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Bryant Bulldogs | Providence Friars |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 96.4 | 105.0 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 103.6 | 95.0 |
| Adj. Net Eff | -7.2 | 10.0 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Bryant Bulldogs Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Harvey | 14.7 | 7.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 34.3 |
| Andre Pasha | 8.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 29.0 |
| Onyx Nnani | 11.0 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 28.0 |
| Ty Tabales | 6.0 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 25.3 |
| Duane Thompson | 9.3 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 23.0 |
Providence Friars Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Hightower | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 |
| Malik Mack | 10.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 28.0 |
| Devin Vanterpool | 11.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 |
| Ryan Mela | 11.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 23.5 |
| Jacob Bannarbie | 10.0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 23.0 |