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Model Predictions

Model Delaware Sta... Georgetown Hoyas Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
2.8% (#361) 97.2% (#86) Georget... -25.7 62-88
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
4.8% (#362) 95.2% (#94) - -
Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
10.1% (#360) 89.9% (#91) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
6.4% (#361) 93.6% (#102) Georget... -29.4 -
Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
6.8% (#361) 93.2% (#102) Georget... -28.8 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
6.4% (#300) 93.6% (#85) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
14.0% (#339) 86.0% (#83) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
13.6% (#340) 86.4% (#83) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
8.9% (#349) 91.1% (#101) - -
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
12.9% (#335) 87.1% (#98) - -
Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
9.6% (#358) 90.4% (#92) - -
Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
10.4% (#357) 89.6% (#93) - -
Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
15.7% (#362) 84.3% (#87) - -
Adjusted Context Blend
2026-27 ratings to date
7.0% (#362) 93.0% (#101) - -

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Delaware Sta... Georgetown Hoyas
Games 2 2
PPG 73.0 83.0
FG% 50.8% 48.7%
3PT% 36.6% 39.3%
FT% 57.9% 76.2%
RPG 36.0 32.5
APG 14.0 18.5
SPG 12.0 7.0
BPG 0.5 4.5
TOPG 13.5 11.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Delaware Sta... Georgetown Hoyas
Adj. Off Eff 92.7 106.1
Adj. Def Eff 107.3 93.9
Adj. Net Eff -14.7 12.1

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Delaware State Hornets Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Nehemiah Reedus 18.0 6.0 1.5 3.5 0.0 34.5
Nasir Muhammad 17.0 4.5 4.5 2.5 0.0 31.5
Joshua Obiora 9.5 4.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 23.0
Anthony Parker 6.0 4.0 4.5 1.5 0.0 22.0
Farouk Muntari 8.5 5.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 21.0

Georgetown Hoyas Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jaland Lowe 22.5 3.5 5.0 0.5 0.0 35.0
Kayvaun Mulready 8.5 4.0 3.0 2.5 0.5 30.5
Elmarko Jackson 15.5 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 29.0
Caleb Williams 6.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 25.5
Vince Iwuchukwu 16.5 6.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 22.5