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Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Kansas State... Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
82.6% (#32) 17.4% (#147) Creight... -14.6 82-68
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
47.8% (#31) 52.2% (#164) - -
Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
33.6% (#30) 66.4% (#180) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
55.3% (#57) 44.7% (#151) Creight... -2.3 -
Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
54.3% (#57) 45.7% (#152) Creight... -1.9 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
87.6% (#30) 12.4% (#132) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
75.4% (#35) 24.6% (#136) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
75.6% (#35) 24.4% (#136) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
44.5% (#53) 55.5% (#167) - -
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
38.0% (#58) 62.0% (#179) - -
Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
69.0% (#45) 31.0% (#151) - -
Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
67.9% (#44) 32.1% (#151) - -
Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
71.4% (#30) 28.6% (#151) - -
Adjusted Context BlendPrior-only ranking with no forecast

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Creighton Bluejays Kansas State...
Games 2 2
PPG 79.5 80.5
FG% 41.1% 45.7%
3PT% 31.7% 36.2%
FT% 75.0% 69.8%
RPG 43.0 35.5
APG 16.5 17.0
SPG 13.0 7.5
BPG 4.0 4.0
TOPG 12.5 14.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Creighton Bluejays Kansas State...
Adj. Off Eff 106.9 101.7
Adj. Def Eff 93.1 98.3
Adj. Net Eff 13.8 3.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Creighton Bluejays Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Wes Enis 20.5 3.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 28.5
Austin Swartz 6.0 4.0 2.5 2.0 0.0 25.0
Jackson McAndrew 12.0 6.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 24.5
Katrelle Harmon 6.5 4.0 5.5 1.0 0.0 24.5
BJ Davis 11.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 22.0

Kansas State Wildcats Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Brandon Rechsteiner 21.0 5.0 4.0 0.5 0.0 33.0
Isaiah Abraham 12.0 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 32.0
Jaden Schutt 7.5 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 31.5
Montana Wheeler 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 18.0
Dez Lindsay 4.5 4.0 2.0 1.5 0.5 18.0