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Tulane Green Wave 11-20
@
2026-01-27
Memphis Tigers 10-21

Model Predictions

Model Tulane Green Wave Memphis Tigers Spread Projected
Elo
2025-26 season-end ratings
 47.1% (#214) 52.9% (#278) Tulane ... -4.3 67-63
Bradley-Terry
2025-26 season-end ratings
 47.9% (#249) 52.1% (#267) - -
Margin
2025-26 season-end ratings
 57.2% (#172) 42.8% (#212) Tulane ... -1.6 -
Pythagorean
2025-26 season-end ratings
 55.7% (#204) 44.3% (#247) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2025-26 season-end ratings
 68.0% (#162) 32.0% (#203) - -
Log Adjusted
2025-26 season-end ratings
 68.4% (#160) 31.6% (#203) - -
Points Off/Def
2025-26 season-end ratings
 51.8% (#174) 48.2% (#217) - -

2025-26 season-end ratings: Spread: 5.1 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2024-25 margin fit); projected score: 2024-25's average total of 131 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Tulane Green Wave Memphis Tigers
Games 31 31
PPG 65.0 65.3
FG% 39.6% 38.8%
3PT% 27.5% 24.6%
FT% 69.4% 59.2%
RPG 38.7 38.2
APG 13.9 12.6
SPG 7.3 10.9
BPG 3.7 4.2
TOPG 17.7 16.8

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Tulane Green Wave Memphis Tigers
Adj. Off Eff 100.4 97.4
Adj. Def Eff 99.6 102.6
Adj. Net Eff 0.7 -5.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Tulane Green Wave Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Amira Mabry 9.9 6.0 1.1 0.7 0.5 29.6
Dyllan Hanna 7.5 6.9 0.5 0.6 1.4 27.5
Kanija Daniel 11.6 3.3 1.8 1.4 1.0 27.0
Kendall Sneed 7.0 3.9 4.0 1.1 0.2 25.3
Mecailin Marshall 10.5 3.8 1.0 0.6 0.0 24.1

Memphis Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Daejah Richmond 13.5 4.8 3.7 2.9 0.8 32.2
Cori Allen 6.5 4.4 2.6 1.8 0.2 30.8
Jordan Hunter 6.1 2.3 2.0 1.0 0.4 28.3
Tamya Smith 12.1 5.5 1.3 1.3 1.1 27.9
Chae Harris 11.7 2.4 1.1 1.4 0.6 23.2