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Tennessee Lady Volunteers 16-14
@
2026-01-26
Ole Miss Rebels 24-12

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee La... Ole Miss Rebels Spread Projected
Elo
2025-26 season-end ratings
 26.9% (#41) 73.1% (#33) Ole Miss Rebels -3.5 64-67
Bradley-Terry
2025-26 season-end ratings
 33.5% (#54) 66.5% (#31) - -
Margin
2025-26 season-end ratings
 35.7% (#22) 64.3% (#21) Ole Miss Rebels -3.2 -
Pythagorean
2025-26 season-end ratings
 42.3% (#89) 57.7% (#32) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2025-26 season-end ratings
 43.6% (#22) 56.4% (#20) - -
Log Adjusted
2025-26 season-end ratings
 44.4% (#21) 55.6% (#20) - -
Points Off/Def
2025-26 season-end ratings
 40.6% (#22) 59.4% (#21) - -

2025-26 season-end ratings: Spread: 5.1 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2024-25 margin fit); projected score: 2024-25's average total of 131 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Tennessee La... Ole Miss Rebels
Games 30 36
PPG 76.4 75.3
FG% 41.0% 43.2%
3PT% 30.5% 30.0%
FT% 67.4% 74.3%
RPG 39.4 39.7
APG 13.6 14.2
SPG 10.3 8.3
BPG 3.5 4.9
TOPG 15.6 14.1

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Tennessee La... Ole Miss Rebels
Adj. Off Eff 119.2 119.6
Adj. Def Eff 80.8 80.4
Adj. Net Eff 38.4 39.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Tennessee Lady Volunteers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Z. Spearman 10.2 5.8 1.0 0.8 1.3 26.2
Talaysia Cooper 16.0 4.7 3.6 2.7 0.3 26.2
Janiah Barker 14.3 6.6 1.2 1.1 0.9 23.9
Mia Pauldo 10.4 2.5 2.5 1.1 0.0 23.3
Nya Robertson 8.5 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.1 22.7

Ole Miss Rebels Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Cotie McMahon 19.5 5.1 3.0 1.1 0.4 30.0
Sira Thienou 9.7 5.7 2.3 1.7 0.5 28.3
Debreasha Powe 5.6 2.7 1.4 0.7 0.7 27.8
Christeen Iwuala 12.5 8.3 1.1 1.3 0.6 27.3
Latasha Lattimore 10.9 6.2 1.1 0.6 2.1 26.5