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2022-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Panthers Rhode Island Rams Spread Projected
Elo
2022-23 season-end ratings
57.2% (#196) 42.8% (#292) Milwauk... -4.2 72-68
Bradley-Terry
2022-23 season-end ratings
67.4% (#156) 32.6% (#295) - -
Margin
2022-23 season-end ratings
40.5% (#232) 59.5% (#240) Rhode I... -2.1 -
Pythagorean
2022-23 season-end ratings
57.1% (#192) 42.9% (#283) - -
Efficiency
2022-23 season-end ratings
67.3% (#191) 32.7% (#283) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2022-23 season-end ratings
47.2% (#226) 52.8% (#228) - -
Log Adjusted
2022-23 season-end ratings
46.4% (#226) 53.6% (#225) - -
Points Off/Def
2022-23 season-end ratings
45.7% (#230) 54.3% (#244) - -

2022-23 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.2 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.2-point home edge (2021-22 margin fit); projected score: 2021-22's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Milwaukee Panthers Rhode Island Rams
Games 34 31
PPG 78.2 66.0
FG% 45.8% 39.4%
3PT% 34.5% 30.4%
FT% 74.0% 74.4%
RPG 39.1 37.0
APG 13.9 11.2
SPG 6.9 6.4
BPG 5.5 3.8
TOPG 15.1 14.1

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Milwaukee Panthers Rhode Island Rams
Adj. Off Eff 97.4 97.3
Adj. Def Eff 102.6 102.7
Adj. Net Eff -5.3 -5.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Milwaukee Panthers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
BJ Freeman 18.2 5.1 2.9 0.8 0.3 30.6
Justin Thomas 7.3 4.4 3.0 1.2 0.6 27.4
Kentrell Pullian 10.6 4.4 1.7 1.0 0.2 26.0
Player #4898074 8.0 3.2 3.4 1.4 0.2 22.8
Elijah Jamison 7.6 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.0 20.6

Rhode Island Rams Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Ishmael Leggett 16.4 5.8 2.4 1.4 0.3 34.5
Malik Martin 8.4 6.4 1.2 1.0 0.9 31.4
Brayon Freeman 14.3 3.0 2.8 1.2 0.0 29.0
Jalen Carey 9.9 4.9 1.8 1.1 0.7 28.8
Sebastian Thomas 5.9 2.3 2.8 0.9 0.3 22.8