🐻⬇️🏀

Stanford Cardinal 16-16
@
2021-12-25
Vanderbilt Commodores 19-17

Model Predictions

Model Stanford Cardinal Vanderbilt C... Spread Projected
Elo
2021-22 season-end ratings
 19.7% (#188) 80.3% (#95) Vanderb... -8.3 67-75
Bradley-Terry
2021-22 season-end ratings
 38.3% (#116) 61.7% (#95) - -
Margin
2021-22 season-end ratings
 21.5% (#107) 78.5% (#57) Vanderb... -7.1 -
Pythagorean
2021-22 season-end ratings
 36.4% (#231) 63.6% (#114) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2021-22 season-end ratings
 20.4% (#109) 79.6% (#55) - -
Log Adjusted
2021-22 season-end ratings
 19.7% (#108) 80.3% (#52) - -
Points Off/Def
2021-22 season-end ratings
 32.8% (#107) 67.2% (#59) - -

2021-22 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.5 points per 100 Elo plus a 1.9-point home edge (2020-21 margin fit); projected score: 2020-21's average total of 142 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Stanford Cardinal Vanderbilt C...
Games 28 32
PPG 65.8 70.4
FG% 43.1% 42.2%
3PT% 33.9% 34.8%
FT% 65.4% 69.9%
RPG 36.8 33.8
APG 13.0 12.0
SPG 5.7 7.4
BPG 2.5 3.4
TOPG 15.0 13.4

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Stanford Cardinal Vanderbilt C...
Adj. Off Eff 103.7 107.7
Adj. Def Eff 96.3 92.3
Adj. Net Eff 7.5 15.4

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Stanford Cardinal Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Harrison Ingram 10.9 6.8 3.1 1.0 0.3 31.5
Spencer Jones 12.0 4.5 1.1 0.9 0.6 26.6
Michael O'Connell 7.0 2.7 3.5 1.1 0.0 26.4
Jaiden Delaire 9.6 3.9 1.0 0.7 0.4 23.5
James Keefe 5.3 4.8 0.7 0.4 0.4 20.4

Vanderbilt Commodores Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Scotty Pippen Jr. 21.0 3.6 4.4 1.9 0.2 33.2
Jordan Wright 12.1 6.3 1.8 1.4 0.3 30.4
Rodney Chatman 7.6 2.3 1.6 0.9 0.1 25.8
Quentin Millora-Brown 5.2 5.7 1.1 0.5 1.0 24.3
Myles Stute 8.6 3.7 0.4 0.6 0.3 24.1