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Delaware State Hornets 2-26
@
2021-12-29
Penn State Nittany Lions 14-17

Model Predictions

Model Delaware Sta... Penn State N... Spread Projected
Elo
2021-22 season-end ratings
 1.9% (#357) 98.1% (#118) Penn St... -28.1 57-85
Bradley-Terry
2021-22 season-end ratings
 3.5% (#356) 96.5% (#127) - -
Margin
2021-22 season-end ratings
 0.4% (#357) 99.6% (#78) Penn St... -31.0 -
Pythagorean
2021-22 season-end ratings
 9.7% (#356) 90.3% (#184) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2021-22 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#355) 99.0% (#76) - -
Log Adjusted
2021-22 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#356) 99.0% (#76) - -
Points Off/Def
2021-22 season-end ratings
 6.5% (#356) 93.5% (#84) - -

2021-22 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.5 points per 100 Elo plus a 1.9-point home edge (2020-21 margin fit); projected score: 2020-21's average total of 142 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Delaware Sta... Penn State N...
Games 26 31
PPG 62.5 64.6
FG% 40.4% 43.2%
3PT% 32.1% 34.2%
FT% 67.0% 73.5%
RPG 34.8 35.3
APG 9.1 11.9
SPG 7.1 5.3
BPG 3.9 2.2
TOPG 17.9 11.8

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Delaware Sta... Penn State N...
Adj. Off Eff 85.7 106.4
Adj. Def Eff 114.3 93.6
Adj. Net Eff -28.7 12.9

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Delaware State Hornets Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Myles Carter 16.8 5.9 1.9 1.5 0.5 34.3
Martaz Robinson 7.3 4.7 2.6 1.3 0.1 30.1
John Stansbury 10.8 3.5 1.4 1.3 0.2 28.1
Dominik Fragala 12.5 2.3 1.0 0.8 0.0 26.2
Corey Perkins 5.7 2.1 3.2 1.5 0.0 25.0

Penn State Nittany Lions Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jalen Pickett 13.3 4.3 4.4 1.1 0.6 37.2
Seth Lundy 11.9 4.9 0.7 1.0 0.7 32.4
Sam Sessoms 11.6 3.1 2.6 0.8 0.1 27.6
John Harrar 10.6 10.3 1.2 0.5 0.2 27.0
Myles Dread 6.2 2.7 1.4 1.0 0.1 27.0