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Georgetown Hoyas 13-13
@
2021-01-26
Xavier Musketeers 13-8

Model Predictions

Model Georgetown Hoyas Xavier Musketeers Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 37.3% (#44) 62.7% (#49) Xavier ... -2.6 69-72
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 40.5% (#90) 59.5% (#76) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 38.4% (#62) 61.6% (#57) Xavier ... -2.6 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 39.1% (#172) 60.9% (#83) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 43.3% (#61) 56.7% (#55) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 43.2% (#61) 56.8% (#55) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 41.4% (#67) 58.6% (#60) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Georgetown Hoyas Xavier Musketeers
Games 24 21
PPG 71.4 74.8
FG% 42.7% 45.8%
3PT% 37.2% 32.5%
FT% 76.2% 69.4%
RPG 39.5 37.7
APG 12.8 17.6
SPG 5.8 6.9
BPG 3.9 4.0
TOPG 15.1 11.2

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Georgetown Hoyas Xavier Musketeers
Adj. Off Eff 106.7 107.2
Adj. Def Eff 93.3 92.8
Adj. Net Eff 13.3 14.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Georgetown Hoyas Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jamorko Pickett 12.2 7.2 2.1 1.0 0.6 34.7
Jahvon Blair 15.4 3.6 3.6 0.7 0.0 34.7
Dante Harris 8.0 3.4 3.2 1.2 0.0 30.3
Qudus Wahab 12.7 8.2 0.2 0.4 1.6 27.7
Jalen Harris 4.8 3.6 5.2 0.6 0.0 27.4

Xavier Musketeers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Paul Scruggs 14.0 4.0 5.7 1.6 0.5 32.7
Nate Johnson 11.4 4.2 1.7 1.2 0.1 31.5
Zach Freemantle 16.1 8.9 1.4 0.7 0.9 31.5
Colby Jones 7.7 4.8 2.9 1.3 0.3 27.8
Jason Carter 5.5 6.0 1.5 0.7 0.7 26.6