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Xavier Musketeers 13-8
@
2021-01-16
Seton Hall Pirates 14-13

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers Seton Hall Pirates Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 36.4% (#49) 63.6% (#53) Seton H... -2.8 69-72
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 45.1% (#76) 54.9% (#88) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 39.0% (#57) 61.0% (#54) Seton H... -2.5 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 51.5% (#83) 48.5% (#129) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 47.1% (#55) 52.9% (#56) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 47.4% (#55) 52.6% (#56) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 42.3% (#60) 57.7% (#57) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Xavier Musketeers Seton Hall Pirates
Games 21 26
PPG 74.8 71.0
FG% 45.8% 44.0%
3PT% 32.5% 32.1%
FT% 69.4% 72.4%
RPG 37.7 34.7
APG 17.6 12.9
SPG 6.9 6.4
BPG 4.0 4.1
TOPG 11.2 12.8

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Xavier Musketeers Seton Hall Pirates
Adj. Off Eff 107.2 107.1
Adj. Def Eff 92.8 92.9
Adj. Net Eff 14.3 14.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Xavier Musketeers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Paul Scruggs 14.0 4.0 5.7 1.6 0.5 32.7
Nate Johnson 11.4 4.2 1.7 1.2 0.1 31.5
Zach Freemantle 16.1 8.9 1.4 0.7 0.9 31.5
Colby Jones 7.7 4.8 2.9 1.3 0.3 27.8
Jason Carter 5.5 6.0 1.5 0.7 0.7 26.6

Seton Hall Pirates Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Sandro Mamukelashvili 17.5 7.6 3.2 1.1 0.6 35.5
Jared Rhoden 14.9 6.7 1.9 1.2 0.4 34.5
Myles Cale 11.6 3.6 0.9 1.0 0.1 30.8
Shavar Reynolds 7.7 2.6 4.2 1.8 0.0 29.3
Ike Obiagu 4.9 4.5 0.2 0.0 2.9 22.3