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2020-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Prairie View... Missouri Tigers Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
16.2% (#170) 83.8% (#75) Missouri Tigers -10.4 65-76
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
30.7% (#91) 69.3% (#39) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
2.3% (#253) 97.7% (#45) Missouri Tigers -20.7 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
54.9% (#39) 45.1% (#134) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
1.0% (#211) 99.0% (#50) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
1.0% (#210) 99.0% (#50) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
15.9% (#245) 84.1% (#46) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Prairie View... Missouri Tigers
Games 17 26
PPG 70.9 73.4
FG% 44.7% 44.6%
3PT% 31.7% 32.5%
FT% 64.7% 70.1%
RPG 34.9 35.7
APG 16.3 13.3
SPG 9.5 6.7
BPG 4.1 3.5
TOPG 13.8 13.3

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Prairie View... Missouri Tigers
Adj. Off Eff 97.3 108.0
Adj. Def Eff 102.7 92.0
Adj. Net Eff -5.4 16.0

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Prairie View A&M Panthers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Cam Mack 11.2 3.2 7.7 2.7 0.3 36.1
Jawaun Daniels 15.2 6.1 1.0 0.9 0.4 30.4
Jeremiah Gambrell 10.7 2.7 1.7 1.5 0.1 27.7
Faite Williams 8.8 2.8 3.2 1.1 0.1 25.8
Lenell Henry 7.3 6.2 1.1 0.5 1.2 23.2

Missouri Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Dru Smith 14.3 3.5 3.8 2.1 0.3 34.1
Mark Smith 9.7 3.2 1.0 1.0 0.2 29.6
Jeremiah Tilmon Jr. 12.4 7.3 0.9 0.8 1.4 27.6
Xavier Pinson 13.6 2.7 2.9 1.1 0.0 25.6
Kobe Brown 8.0 6.2 0.8 0.6 0.4 21.3