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Clemson Tigers 16-8
@
2021-02-17
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 11-15

Model Predictions

Model Clemson Tigers Notre Dame F... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 55.5% (#46) 44.5% (#101) Clemson Tigers -2.6 72-69
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 65.9% (#46) 34.1% (#162) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 59.6% (#49) 40.4% (#86) Clemson Tigers -2.1 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 56.2% (#96) 43.8% (#201) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 73.9% (#39) 26.1% (#88) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 73.9% (#39) 26.1% (#88) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 51.9% (#52) 48.1% (#90) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Clemson Tigers Notre Dame F...
Games 23 6
PPG 65.0 69.5
FG% 42.3% 43.1%
3PT% 34.8% 35.5%
FT% 78.0% 75.3%
RPG 32.2 33.7
APG 13.3 13.7
SPG 6.0 4.5
BPG 2.7 3.8
TOPG 12.3 10.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Clemson Tigers Notre Dame F...
Adj. Off Eff 109.0 105.0
Adj. Def Eff 91.0 95.0
Adj. Net Eff 17.9 9.9

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Clemson Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Aamir Simms 13.7 6.5 2.7 0.9 0.7 30.0
Clyde Trapp 7.4 5.3 2.6 0.6 0.4 29.0
Al-Amir Dawes 9.0 2.0 1.8 0.9 0.1 25.3
Nick Honor 8.1 1.3 2.2 1.3 0.0 23.4
Hunter Tyson 7.4 4.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 17.3

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Prentiss Hubb 16.0 2.9 4.8 0.7 0.3 36.3
Dane Goodwin 12.0 5.2 1.6 0.5 0.2 33.1
Cormac Ryan 9.9 4.5 2.5 1.0 0.4 31.0
Nate Laszewski 13.0 7.2 0.8 0.6 0.6 31.0
Juwan Durham 9.3 5.6 1.2 0.6 1.9 23.7