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2021-01-20

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Virginia Cavaliers Spread
Elo 18.2% (#70) 81.8% (#20) -
Bradley-Terry 36.4% (#42) 63.6% (#22) -
Margin 37.5% (#50) 62.5% (#47) Virgini... -2.8
Pythagorean 28.7% (#65) 71.3% (#15) -
Efficiency 27.5% (#34) 72.5% (#24) -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.4% (#68) 87.6% (#27) -
Log Adjusted 12.3% (#68) 87.7% (#26) -

Team Stats Comparison

Stat NC State Wolfpack Virginia Cavaliers
Games 5 22
PPG 68.4 67.7
FG% 42.9% 47.3%
3PT% 39.2% 37.3%
FT% 72.0% 82.2%
RPG 33.4 31.2
APG 10.0 14.0
SPG 6.4 5.0
BPG 2.6 4.4
TOPG 12.2 9.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric NC State Wolfpack Virginia Cavaliers
Adj. Off Eff 98.9 104.6
Adj. Def Eff 101.1 95.4
Adj. Net Eff -2.2 9.2

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

NC State Wolfpack Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
J. Hellems 10.7 4.7 1.7 0.9 0.0 34.4
M. Bates 11.0 5.6 0.9 0.4 1.3 32.6
B. Beverly 6.8 2.2 3.0 1.6 0.0 29.4
DJ Funderburk 15.2 6.7 0.5 0.8 0.2 27.8
C. Hayes 8.4 2.6 1.9 0.6 0.0 26.1

Virginia Cavaliers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
S. Hauser 16.1 6.8 1.8 0.6 0.4 34.6
K. Clark 9.6 2.1 4.7 0.7 0.0 34.4
T. Murphy III 11.2 3.5 1.3 0.8 0.5 30.3
R. Beekman 4.5 2.8 3.2 1.2 0.4 29.9
J. Huff 13.3 7.2 1.0 0.6 2.7 27.5