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Cincinnati Bearcats 12-11
@
2021-02-11
Memphis Tigers 20-8

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Memphis Tigers Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 16.9% (#73) 83.1% (#13) Memphis Tigers -10.1 66-76
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 28.3% (#106) 71.7% (#38) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 11.6% (#117) 88.4% (#38) Memphis Tigers -11.2 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 27.7% (#234) 72.3% (#16) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 7.9% (#115) 92.1% (#30) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 7.7% (#116) 92.3% (#32) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 24.8% (#122) 75.2% (#34) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Cincinnati Bearcats Memphis Tigers
Games 18 25
PPG 70.8 73.0
FG% 43.7% 44.7%
3PT% 32.2% 36.5%
FT% 66.3% 62.4%
RPG 36.7 40.0
APG 15.5 16.1
SPG 7.2 8.6
BPG 3.5 4.9
TOPG 15.0 15.4

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Cincinnati Bearcats Memphis Tigers
Adj. Off Eff 102.7 109.7
Adj. Def Eff 97.3 90.3
Adj. Net Eff 5.3 19.4

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Cincinnati Bearcats Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
David DeJulius 9.2 4.7 4.2 0.8 0.1 29.9
Mika Adams-Woods 8.7 2.4 2.0 1.0 0.3 29.8
Keith Williams 14.9 4.1 2.7 1.3 0.7 28.9
Jeremiah Davenport 12.2 4.7 1.6 0.8 0.1 27.8
Rapolas Ivanauskas 6.5 5.2 0.3 0.8 0.0 21.7

Memphis Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Landers Nolley II 13.7 4.2 1.7 1.0 0.2 27.6
Lester Quinones 9.6 5.8 2.0 0.9 0.2 26.6
DeAndre Williams 11.7 5.8 3.4 2.2 0.5 26.1
D.J. Jeffries 9.8 5.1 1.8 0.9 0.8 25.3
Boogie Ellis 10.1 2.1 1.6 1.1 0.2 23.3