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Northern Iowa Panthers 10-15
@
2020-12-16
Wisconsin Badgers 18-13

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iow... Wisconsin Badgers Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 12.1% (#129) 87.9% (#31) Wiscons... -12.8 64-77
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 16.8% (#234) 83.2% (#58) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 2.8% (#174) 97.2% (#13) Wiscons... -19.5 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 29.0% (#246) 71.0% (#60) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#182) 99.0% (#15) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#182) 99.0% (#15) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 15.2% (#181) 84.8% (#16) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Northern Iow... Wisconsin Badgers
Games 25 31
PPG 69.5 69.9
FG% 44.3% 42.5%
3PT% 32.5% 36.4%
FT% 68.3% 76.8%
RPG 35.8 33.6
APG 13.2 13.4
SPG 6.4 5.6
BPG 2.6 4.0
TOPG 13.1 9.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Northern Iow... Wisconsin Badgers
Adj. Off Eff 99.0 111.2
Adj. Def Eff 101.0 88.8
Adj. Net Eff -2.0 22.4

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Northern Iowa Panthers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
AJ Green 22.3 5.7 2.7 1.3 0.7 36.3
Trae Berhow 13.0 4.9 3.0 1.0 0.3 32.9
Nate Heise 7.6 3.6 1.3 1.2 0.6 31.0
Bowen Born 11.2 2.5 2.3 0.7 0.0 30.6
Noah Carter 11.2 5.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 27.4

Wisconsin Badgers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
D'Mitrik Trice 13.9 3.4 4.0 0.8 0.0 33.3
Brad Davison 10.0 3.5 2.4 1.1 0.0 31.0
Aleem Ford 8.7 4.2 1.1 0.6 0.5 26.4
Tyler Wahl 5.2 4.3 1.4 1.0 0.7 24.7
Johnny Davis 7.0 4.1 1.1 1.1 0.6 24.3