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Fordham Rams 2-12
@
2021-01-31
VCU Rams 19-7

Model Predictions

Model Fordham Rams VCU Rams Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 2.8% (#303) 97.2% (#34) VCU Rams -23.8 59-82
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 5.8% (#326) 94.2% (#31) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.1% (#305) 98.9% (#51) VCU Rams -24.8 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 3.6% (#342) 96.4% (#47) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#323) 99.0% (#46) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#323) 99.0% (#48) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 9.6% (#315) 90.4% (#45) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Fordham Rams VCU Rams
Games 14 25
PPG 51.8 71.5
FG% 35.9% 45.1%
3PT% 26.9% 32.9%
FT% 67.0% 76.2%
RPG 29.7 34.1
APG 10.9 13.5
SPG 6.2 9.2
BPG 2.0 5.4
TOPG 13.4 14.6

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Fordham Rams VCU Rams
Adj. Off Eff 90.8 108.3
Adj. Def Eff 109.2 91.7
Adj. Net Eff -18.5 16.7

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Fordham Rams Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Chris Austin 11.4 2.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 35.3
Jalen Cobb 7.2 4.5 3.6 1.7 0.4 35.1
J. Navarro 6.6 1.9 2.8 0.9 0.1 29.7
Kyle Rose 5.3 3.7 1.6 1.4 0.1 29.6
Joel Soriano 10.4 9.2 0.9 0.4 0.8 27.1

VCU Rams Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Bones Hyland 19.7 4.7 2.1 1.7 0.2 32.0
Ace Baldwin Jr. 6.6 3.3 4.5 2.2 0.0 30.1
Vince Williams Jr. 10.6 5.1 2.2 1.0 0.2 28.7
Hason Ward 6.4 5.1 1.0 0.6 2.3 21.8
Corey Douglas Jr. 4.4 3.3 0.6 0.6 1.3 19.1