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Prairie View A&M Panthers 16-5
@
2020-12-05
Grand Canyon Lopes 17-7

Model Predictions

Model Prairie View... Grand Canyon Lopes Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 23.3% (#170) 76.7% (#106) Grand C... -7.3 67-74
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 49.6% (#91) 50.4% (#138) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 6.9% (#253) 93.1% (#99) Grand C... -14.3 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 45.6% (#39) 54.4% (#26) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 6.6% (#211) 93.4% (#90) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 6.4% (#210) 93.6% (#90) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 22.7% (#245) 77.3% (#93) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Prairie View... Grand Canyon Lopes
Games 17 23
PPG 70.9 76.0
FG% 44.7% 48.8%
3PT% 31.7% 33.2%
FT% 64.7% 68.5%
RPG 34.9 40.2
APG 16.3 16.3
SPG 9.5 5.0
BPG 4.1 3.1
TOPG 13.8 12.7

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Prairie View... Grand Canyon Lopes
Adj. Off Eff 97.3 104.8
Adj. Def Eff 102.7 95.2
Adj. Net Eff -5.4 9.5

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Prairie View A&M Panthers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Cam Mack 11.2 3.2 7.7 2.7 0.3 36.1
Jawaun Daniels 15.2 6.1 1.0 0.9 0.4 30.4
Jeremiah Gambrell 10.7 2.7 1.7 1.5 0.1 27.7
Faite Williams 8.8 2.8 3.2 1.1 0.1 25.8
Lenell Henry 7.3 6.2 1.1 0.5 1.2 23.2

Grand Canyon Lopes Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jovan Blacksher Jr. 12.0 3.7 5.4 1.6 0.1 32.3
Asbjorn Midtgaard 14.1 9.7 0.7 0.4 1.3 28.5
Alessandro Lever 13.3 5.4 1.7 0.3 0.2 28.5
Mikey Dixon 8.3 2.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 23.5
Oscar Frayer 6.6 2.5 2.0 0.6 0.8 22.2