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Prairie View A&M Panthers 16-5
@
2020-11-25
Northwestern Wildcats 9-15

Model Predictions

Model Prairie View... Northwestern... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 32.7% (#170) 67.3% (#158) Northwe... -4.0 69-73
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 60.3% (#91) 39.7% (#188) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 4.1% (#253) 95.9% (#72) Northwe... -17.4 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 66.8% (#39) 33.2% (#248) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 5.7% (#211) 94.3% (#84) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 5.3% (#210) 94.7% (#82) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 21.2% (#245) 78.8% (#89) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Prairie View... Northwestern...
Games 17 24
PPG 70.9 70.3
FG% 44.7% 43.3%
3PT% 31.7% 35.3%
FT% 64.7% 71.8%
RPG 34.9 33.7
APG 16.3 14.7
SPG 9.5 6.2
BPG 4.1 2.6
TOPG 13.8 11.8

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Prairie View... Northwestern...
Adj. Off Eff 97.3 105.1
Adj. Def Eff 102.7 94.9
Adj. Net Eff -5.4 10.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Prairie View A&M Panthers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Cam Mack 11.2 3.2 7.7 2.7 0.3 36.1
Jawaun Daniels 15.2 6.1 1.0 0.9 0.4 30.4
Jeremiah Gambrell 10.7 2.7 1.7 1.5 0.1 27.7
Faite Williams 8.8 2.8 3.2 1.1 0.1 25.8
Lenell Henry 7.3 6.2 1.1 0.5 1.2 23.2

Northwestern Wildcats Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Miller Kopp 11.3 3.1 1.1 1.0 0.1 31.5
Chase Audige 12.3 3.7 1.8 1.5 0.4 28.2
Pete Nance 11.1 6.8 1.8 0.6 0.7 27.7
Boo Buie 10.3 2.3 4.0 0.6 0.0 26.9
Anthony Gaines 3.9 4.3 1.1 0.6 0.3 20.8