🐻⬇️🏀

Clemson Tigers 16-8
@
2021-02-21
Pittsburgh Panthers 10-12

Model Predictions

Model Clemson Tigers Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 60.5% (#46) 39.5% (#122) Clemson Tigers -4.0 73-69
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 68.3% (#46) 31.7% (#178) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 61.0% (#49) 39.0% (#88) Clemson Tigers -2.5 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 50.8% (#96) 49.2% (#141) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 73.1% (#39) 26.9% (#85) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 73.0% (#39) 27.0% (#84) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 52.0% (#52) 48.0% (#91) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Clemson Tigers Pittsburgh Panthers
Games 23 20
PPG 65.0 72.1
FG% 42.3% 44.3%
3PT% 34.8% 35.3%
FT% 78.0% 66.5%
RPG 32.2 37.3
APG 13.3 14.5
SPG 6.0 6.1
BPG 2.7 3.7
TOPG 12.3 12.7

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Clemson Tigers Pittsburgh Panthers
Adj. Off Eff 109.0 105.1
Adj. Def Eff 91.0 94.9
Adj. Net Eff 17.9 10.2

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Clemson Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Aamir Simms 13.7 6.5 2.7 0.9 0.7 30.0
Clyde Trapp 7.4 5.3 2.6 0.6 0.4 29.0
Al-Amir Dawes 9.0 2.0 1.8 0.9 0.1 25.3
Nick Honor 8.1 1.3 2.2 1.3 0.0 23.4
Hunter Tyson 7.4 4.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 17.3

Pittsburgh Panthers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Au'Diese Toney 14.7 6.1 2.5 1.3 0.1 35.2
Justin Champagnie 17.7 10.5 1.4 1.2 1.2 34.5
Xavier Johnson 14.3 3.5 5.8 1.4 0.2 29.2
Ithiel Horton 9.2 2.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 26.8
A. Coulibaly 5.1 3.7 0.9 0.7 0.8 22.7