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Clemson Tigers 16-8
@
2021-01-09
North Carolina Tar Heels 18-11

Model Predictions

Model Clemson Tigers North Caroli... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 32.6% (#46) 67.4% (#37) North C... -4.0 69-73
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 44.8% (#46) 55.2% (#56) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 29.2% (#49) 70.8% (#30) North C... -4.9 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 44.6% (#96) 55.4% (#66) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 43.2% (#39) 56.8% (#33) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 42.8% (#39) 57.2% (#33) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 36.6% (#52) 63.4% (#31) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Clemson Tigers North Caroli...
Games 23 28
PPG 65.0 74.3
FG% 42.3% 43.6%
3PT% 34.8% 31.5%
FT% 78.0% 66.5%
RPG 32.2 42.5
APG 13.3 15.1
SPG 6.0 7.0
BPG 2.7 4.5
TOPG 12.3 14.8

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Clemson Tigers North Caroli...
Adj. Off Eff 109.0 109.5
Adj. Def Eff 91.0 90.5
Adj. Net Eff 17.9 19.0

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Clemson Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Aamir Simms 13.7 6.5 2.7 0.9 0.7 30.0
Clyde Trapp 7.4 5.3 2.6 0.6 0.4 29.0
Al-Amir Dawes 9.0 2.0 1.8 0.9 0.1 25.3
Nick Honor 8.1 1.3 2.2 1.3 0.0 23.4
Hunter Tyson 7.4 4.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 17.3

North Carolina Tar Heels Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Garrison Brooks 10.2 6.9 1.4 0.7 0.8 28.0
Caleb Love 10.5 2.6 3.6 1.2 0.3 27.7
Leaky Black 5.6 4.9 2.4 1.2 0.3 27.6
Armando Bacot 12.3 7.8 0.8 0.7 0.9 22.7
RJ Davis 8.4 2.3 1.9 0.7 0.1 22.3