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Tennessee Volunteers 18-9
@
2020-12-04
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 11-15

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Notre Dame F... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 59.4% (#36) 40.6% (#101) Tenness... -3.7 72-69
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 66.5% (#44) 33.5% (#162) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 77.5% (#17) 22.5% (#86) Tenness... -6.8 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 61.9% (#28) 38.1% (#201) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 84.3% (#13) 15.7% (#88) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 84.5% (#13) 15.5% (#88) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 62.5% (#15) 37.5% (#90) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Tennessee Volunteers Notre Dame F...
Games 27 6
PPG 71.9 69.5
FG% 43.9% 43.1%
3PT% 33.0% 35.5%
FT% 74.6% 75.3%
RPG 35.9 33.7
APG 14.9 13.7
SPG 7.3 4.5
BPG 4.8 3.8
TOPG 12.5 10.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Tennessee Volunteers Notre Dame F...
Adj. Off Eff 111.4 105.0
Adj. Def Eff 88.6 95.0
Adj. Net Eff 22.7 9.9

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Tennessee Volunteers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Santiago Vescovi 8.7 3.7 3.1 1.2 0.0 29.2
Yves Pons 8.7 5.3 0.7 0.7 1.8 28.5
Josiah-Jordan James 8.0 6.5 2.0 1.4 1.0 26.9
John Fulkerson 9.5 5.5 1.7 0.5 0.6 26.4
Jaden Springer 12.5 3.5 2.9 1.2 0.4 25.9

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Prentiss Hubb 16.0 2.9 4.8 0.7 0.3 36.3
Dane Goodwin 12.0 5.2 1.6 0.5 0.2 33.1
Cormac Ryan 9.9 4.5 2.5 1.0 0.4 31.0
Nate Laszewski 13.0 7.2 0.8 0.6 0.6 31.0
Juwan Durham 9.3 5.6 1.2 0.6 1.9 23.7