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2020-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte 49ers Tennessee Volunteers Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
5.2% (#239) 94.8% (#36) Tenness... -19.2 61-80
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
14.1% (#238) 85.9% (#44) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
1.6% (#222) 98.4% (#17) Tenness... -22.8 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
27.8% (#238) 72.2% (#28) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
1.0% (#243) 99.0% (#13) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
1.0% (#241) 99.0% (#13) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
12.3% (#231) 87.7% (#15) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Charlotte 49ers Tennessee Volunteers
Games 25 27
PPG 63.5 71.9
FG% 43.2% 43.9%
3PT% 32.4% 33.0%
FT% 73.1% 74.6%
RPG 31.2 35.9
APG 11.3 14.9
SPG 5.4 7.3
BPG 2.9 4.8
TOPG 13.4 12.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Charlotte 49ers Tennessee Volunteers
Adj. Off Eff 96.4 111.4
Adj. Def Eff 103.6 88.6
Adj. Net Eff -7.1 22.7

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Charlotte 49ers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jahmir Young 18.0 4.9 2.5 1.0 0.3 37.4
Jordan Shepherd 11.9 3.5 2.9 1.4 0.5 34.9
Jhery Matos 7.6 4.4 2.3 1.0 0.6 32.4
Brice Williams 9.7 4.0 1.0 0.8 0.4 29.5
Milos Supica 6.3 5.5 0.8 0.5 0.3 21.4

Tennessee Volunteers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Santiago Vescovi 8.7 3.7 3.1 1.2 0.0 29.2
Yves Pons 8.7 5.3 0.7 0.7 1.8 28.5
Josiah-Jordan James 8.0 6.5 2.0 1.4 1.0 26.9
John Fulkerson 9.5 5.5 1.7 0.5 0.6 26.4
Jaden Springer 12.5 3.5 2.9 1.2 0.4 25.9