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2021-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators LSU Tigers Spread
Elo 74.8% (#16) 25.2% (#67) -
Bradley-Terry 52.7% (#27) 47.3% (#53) -
Margin 65.4% (#13) 34.6% (#48) Florida Gators -3.5
Pythagorean 60.1% (#45) 39.9% (#73) -
Efficiency 69.1% (#40) 30.9% (#51) -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.9% (#47) 57.1% (#43) -
Log Adjusted 43.3% (#47) 56.7% (#43) -

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Florida Gators LSU Tigers
Games 8 10
PPG 70.5 77.1
FG% 45.0% 41.3%
3PT% 33.1% 32.5%
FT% 74.2% 75.5%
RPG 36.6 39.7
APG 11.4 10.9
SPG 6.9 7.3
BPG 5.8 4.0
TOPG 16.1 9.3

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Florida Gators LSU Tigers
Adj. Off Eff 101.7 102.3
Adj. Def Eff 98.3 97.7
Adj. Net Eff 3.4 4.5

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Florida Gators Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
T. Mann 17.5 6.1 3.6 1.1 0.1 33.9
N. Locke 11.0 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 30.0
T. Appleby 10.9 2.5 3.1 1.6 0.0 30.0
C. Castleton 10.6 8.4 0.9 1.1 2.7 28.7
S. Lewis 5.7 3.1 1.4 1.3 1.1 22.9

LSU Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
C. Thomas 23.2 3.5 1.7 1.0 0.4 36.0
J. Smart 15.0 4.5 3.7 0.9 0.1 35.1
T. Watford 14.8 7.4 2.7 1.3 1.1 34.8
D. Days 11.1 7.1 0.9 0.9 0.2 26.6
A. Hyatt 4.4 3.3 0.7 0.4 0.4 17.8