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Pacific Tigers 9-9
@
2020-12-19
Cal State Fullerton Titans 6-10

Model Predictions

Model Pacific Tigers Cal State Fu... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 68.2% (#159) 31.8% (#297) Pacific Tigers -6.4 74-67
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 68.9% (#137) 31.1% (#281) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 75.8% (#128) 24.2% (#237) Pacific Tigers -6.3 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 47.9% (#223) 52.1% (#230) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 78.9% (#128) 21.1% (#232) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 78.8% (#128) 21.2% (#231) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 58.9% (#135) 41.1% (#253) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Pacific Tigers Cal State Fu...
Games 18 5
PPG 69.8 73.8
FG% 43.8% 42.8%
3PT% 29.9% 38.4%
FT% 67.9% 75.8%
RPG 34.6 35.2
APG 12.9 12.2
SPG 6.4 5.6
BPG 3.4 1.4
TOPG 12.0 16.2

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Pacific Tigers Cal State Fu...
Adj. Off Eff 101.7 96.7
Adj. Def Eff 98.3 103.3
Adj. Net Eff 3.5 -6.6

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Pacific Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Daniss Jenkins 12.2 3.2 2.1 1.2 0.7 31.2
Jeremiah Bailey 11.4 6.2 1.1 1.7 0.3 30.9
Broc Finstuen 11.2 5.7 1.1 0.6 0.4 28.4
Pierre Crockrell II 10.1 2.5 4.1 0.8 0.1 26.4
Jordan Bell 8.9 6.9 0.9 1.2 0.9 25.6

Cal State Fullert... Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Tray Maddox Jr. 16.0 3.0 2.4 0.9 0.1 37.3
Josh Hall 9.5 8.4 2.1 1.5 0.5 31.0
Dante Maddox Jr. 13.7 2.3 1.7 1.1 0.0 29.7
Player #4432108 8.6 4.6 3.1 0.9 0.4 26.4
Latrell Wrightsell Jr. 9.0 1.8 2.0 1.4 0.0 24.6