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Jackson State Tigers 12-6
@
2020-11-27
Central Arkansas Bears 5-19

Model Predictions

Model Jackson State Tigers Central Arka... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 73.4% (#192) 26.6% (#329) Jackson... -8.2 75-66
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 76.3% (#153) 23.7% (#323) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 57.5% (#281) 42.5% (#321) Jackson... -1.7 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 80.2% (#100) 19.8% (#331) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 70.6% (#267) 29.4% (#321) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 70.1% (#268) 29.9% (#320) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 53.2% (#274) 46.8% (#322) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Jackson State Tigers Central Arka...
Games 13 21
PPG 67.1 70.8
FG% 39.2% 44.0%
3PT% 33.6% 36.3%
FT% 69.8% 70.2%
RPG 36.6 37.0
APG 11.0 13.7
SPG 8.0 5.1
BPG 3.5 2.9
TOPG 15.8 17.9

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Jackson State Tigers Central Arka...
Adj. Off Eff 94.8 91.3
Adj. Def Eff 105.2 108.7
Adj. Net Eff -10.5 -17.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Jackson State Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jayveous McKinnis 12.5 13.2 0.6 1.1 2.1 32.6
Tristan Jarrett 21.1 5.3 1.4 1.4 0.4 31.8
Jonas James III 9.9 2.8 3.1 1.2 0.1 30.4
Cainan McClelland 6.1 2.2 2.2 1.3 0.2 27.5
Isaiah Williams 5.8 5.5 0.8 0.9 0.2 23.6

Central Arkansas Bears Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Rylan Bergersen 16.6 4.1 4.9 1.4 0.5 34.4
Eddy Kayouloud 10.7 5.3 2.3 0.9 0.2 28.1
DeAndre Jones 11.5 3.5 3.8 1.4 0.1 28.0
Collin Cooper 10.8 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.0 25.4
Khaleem Bennett 9.2 4.1 1.3 0.6 0.4 24.8