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Texas Southern Tigers 17-9
@
2021-02-16
Jackson State Tigers 12-6

Model Predictions

Model Texas Southe... Jackson State Tigers Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 52.9% (#124) 47.1% (#192) Texas S... -1.9 71-70
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 53.1% (#95) 46.9% (#153) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 63.7% (#214) 36.3% (#281) Texas S... -3.1 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 46.7% (#105) 53.3% (#100) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 69.3% (#199) 30.7% (#267) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 69.6% (#199) 30.4% (#268) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 53.3% (#207) 46.7% (#274) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Texas Southe... Jackson State Tigers
Games 21 13
PPG 73.4 67.1
FG% 44.7% 39.2%
3PT% 26.5% 33.6%
FT% 69.2% 69.8%
RPG 39.0 36.6
APG 12.1 11.0
SPG 7.2 8.0
BPG 4.2 3.5
TOPG 15.0 15.8

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Texas Southe... Jackson State Tigers
Adj. Off Eff 98.0 94.8
Adj. Def Eff 102.0 105.2
Adj. Net Eff -4.1 -10.5

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Texas Southern Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Michael Weathers 15.5 5.1 3.2 2.1 0.9 30.1
Justin Hopkins 8.5 4.0 1.2 0.8 0.1 28.5
John Walker III 12.2 5.5 1.2 0.7 1.1 26.1
Jordan Gilliam 5.9 3.2 2.7 0.9 0.4 26.0
Galen Alexander 9.9 4.9 1.0 0.9 0.5 25.4

Jackson State Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jayveous McKinnis 12.5 13.2 0.6 1.1 2.1 32.6
Tristan Jarrett 21.1 5.3 1.4 1.4 0.4 31.8
Jonas James III 9.9 2.8 3.1 1.2 0.1 30.4
Cainan McClelland 6.1 2.2 2.2 1.3 0.2 27.5
Isaiah Williams 5.8 5.5 0.8 0.9 0.2 23.6