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Jackson State Tigers 12-6
@
2021-01-18
Texas Southern Tigers 17-9

Model Predictions

Model Jackson State Tigers Texas Southe... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 22.0% (#192) 78.0% (#124) Texas S... -7.8 67-74
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 33.2% (#153) 66.8% (#95) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 22.3% (#281) 77.7% (#214) Texas S... -6.9 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 47.3% (#100) 52.7% (#105) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 24.7% (#267) 75.3% (#199) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 24.4% (#268) 75.6% (#199) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 33.7% (#274) 66.3% (#207) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Jackson State Tigers Texas Southe...
Games 11 21
PPG 68.2 73.4
FG% 39.9% 44.7%
3PT% 36.3% 26.5%
FT% 68.4% 69.2%
RPG 36.5 39.0
APG 11.5 12.1
SPG 8.3 7.2
BPG 3.7 4.2
TOPG 15.2 15.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Jackson State Tigers Texas Southe...
Adj. Off Eff 94.8 98.0
Adj. Def Eff 105.2 102.0
Adj. Net Eff -10.5 -4.1

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Jackson State Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jayveous McKinnis 12.5 13.2 0.6 1.1 2.1 32.6
Tristan Jarrett 21.1 5.3 1.4 1.4 0.4 31.8
Jonas James III 9.9 2.8 3.1 1.2 0.1 30.4
Cainan McClelland 6.1 2.2 2.2 1.3 0.2 27.5
Isaiah Williams 5.8 5.5 0.8 0.9 0.2 23.6

Texas Southern Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Michael Weathers 15.5 5.1 3.2 2.1 0.9 30.1
Justin Hopkins 8.5 4.0 1.2 0.8 0.1 28.5
John Walker III 12.2 5.5 1.2 0.7 1.1 26.1
Jordan Gilliam 5.9 3.2 2.7 0.9 0.4 26.0
Galen Alexander 9.9 4.9 1.0 0.9 0.5 25.4