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Jackson State Tigers 12-6
@
2021-01-16
Prairie View A&M Panthers 16-5

Model Predictions

Model Jackson State Tigers Prairie View... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 30.2% (#192) 69.8% (#170) Prairie... -4.8 68-73
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 32.7% (#153) 67.3% (#91) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 30.0% (#281) 70.0% (#253) Prairie... -4.7 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 41.7% (#100) 58.3% (#39) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 28.9% (#267) 71.1% (#211) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 28.3% (#268) 71.7% (#210) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 37.4% (#274) 62.6% (#245) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Jackson State Tigers Prairie View...
Games 11 17
PPG 68.2 70.9
FG% 39.9% 44.7%
3PT% 36.3% 31.7%
FT% 68.4% 64.7%
RPG 36.5 34.9
APG 11.5 16.3
SPG 8.3 9.5
BPG 3.7 4.1
TOPG 15.2 13.8

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Jackson State Tigers Prairie View...
Adj. Off Eff 94.8 97.3
Adj. Def Eff 105.2 102.7
Adj. Net Eff -10.5 -5.4

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Jackson State Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
J. McKinnis 12.5 13.2 0.6 1.1 2.1 32.6
T. Jarrett 21.1 5.3 1.4 1.4 0.4 31.8
Jonas James III 9.9 2.8 3.1 1.2 0.1 30.4
C. McClelland 6.1 2.2 2.2 1.3 0.2 27.5
I. Williams 5.8 5.5 0.8 0.9 0.2 23.6

Prairie View A&M Panthers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
C. Mack 11.2 3.2 7.7 2.7 0.3 36.1
J. Daniels 15.2 6.1 1.0 0.9 0.4 30.4
J. Gambrell 10.7 2.7 1.7 1.5 0.1 27.7
F. Williams 8.8 2.8 3.2 1.1 0.1 25.8
L. Henry 7.3 6.2 1.1 0.5 1.2 23.2