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Syracuse Orange 18-14
@
2020-03-12
Louisville Cardinals 24-7

Model Predictions

Model Syracuse Orange Louisville Cardinals Spread Projected
Elo
2019-20 season-end ratings
 26.5% (#50) 73.5% (#27) Louisvi... -5.9 69-75
Bradley-Terry
2019-20 season-end ratings
 20.1% (#103) 79.9% (#14) - -
Margin
2019-20 season-end ratings
 16.8% (#50) 83.2% (#13) Louisvi... -8.8 -
Pythagorean
2019-20 season-end ratings
 41.9% (#79) 58.1% (#12) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2019-20 season-end ratings
 20.0% (#46) 80.0% (#11) - -
Log Adjusted
2019-20 season-end ratings
 20.1% (#45) 79.9% (#11) - -
Points Off/Def
2019-20 season-end ratings
 31.2% (#52) 68.8% (#12) - -

2019-20 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.8-point home edge (2018-19 margin fit); projected score: 2018-19's average total of 144 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Syracuse Orange Louisville Cardinals
Games 31 30
PPG 74.1 74.6
FG% 43.5% 45.7%
3PT% 32.8% 38.1%
FT% 74.0% 73.1%
RPG 35.8 38.6
APG 13.7 14.1
SPG 7.4 5.0
BPG 4.5 2.7
TOPG 11.6 11.9

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Syracuse Orange Louisville Cardinals
Adj. Off Eff 108.4 112.5
Adj. Def Eff 91.6 87.5
Adj. Net Eff 16.9 24.9

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Syracuse Orange Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Elijah Hughes 19.1 5.0 3.4 1.2 0.8 36.6
Buddy Boeheim 15.3 1.8 2.1 1.1 0.2 35.4
Marek Dolezaj 10.2 6.5 2.6 1.1 0.9 33.3
Joseph Girard III 12.4 3.0 3.5 1.5 0.1 32.8
Bourama Sidibe 6.1 7.5 0.2 1.3 1.4 24.0

Louisville Cardinals Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jordan Nwora 18.0 7.7 1.3 0.7 0.3 33.1
Dwayne Sutton 9.1 8.2 1.7 0.8 0.7 31.5
Ryan McMahon 8.7 1.1 1.8 0.6 0.1 24.7
Lamarr Kimble 5.0 1.5 2.7 0.8 0.1 21.8
Steven Enoch 9.5 5.6 0.4 0.3 0.6 20.4