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2018-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Stanford Cardinal Washington S... Spread Projected
Elo
2017-18 season-end ratings
79.7% (#16) 20.3% (#123) Stanfor... -15.5 73-57
Bradley-Terry
2017-18 season-end ratings
80.1% (#21) 19.9% (#142) - -
Margin
2017-18 season-end ratings
84.7% (#17) 15.3% (#71) Stanfor... -9.4 -
Pythagorean
2017-18 season-end ratings
65.5% (#81) 34.5% (#225) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2017-18 season-end ratings
92.3% (#17) 7.7% (#77) - -
Log Adjusted
2017-18 season-end ratings
92.6% (#17) 7.4% (#77) - -
Points Off/Def
2017-18 season-end ratings
68.4% (#18) 31.6% (#74) - -

2017-18 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.7 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.7-point home edge (2016-17 margin fit); projected score: 2016-17's average total of 130 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Stanford Cardinal Washington S...
Games 35 29
PPG 68.7 65.3
FG% 42.4% 39.5%
3PT% 31.9% 32.9%
FT% 64.2% 65.0%
RPG 40.9 35.6
APG 13.7 14.4
SPG 7.4 8.2
BPG 5.3 4.5
TOPG 14.8 14.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Stanford Cardinal Washington S...
Adj. Off Eff 117.4 107.3
Adj. Def Eff 82.6 92.7
Adj. Net Eff 34.8 14.7

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Stanford Cardinal Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Brittany McPhee 16.7 5.4 2.4 1.3 0.7 31.7
Alanna Smith 13.5 7.0 1.2 1.3 1.8 28.4
Marta Sniezek 5.5 3.5 4.3 1.1 0.1 27.7
Kiana Williams 10.4 1.7 1.9 0.9 0.1 25.7
Kaylee Johnson 4.7 7.5 0.9 0.6 1.1 23.3

Washington State Cougars Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Borislava Hristova 17.7 4.0 1.7 1.1 0.3 30.8
Chanelle Molina 7.6 1.9 3.0 0.9 0.1 25.5
Louise Brown 6.3 5.9 1.7 0.5 0.4 23.8
Alexys Swedlund 9.8 2.4 0.9 1.0 0.0 23.1
Caila Hailey 5.0 2.3 2.1 1.7 0.2 22.5