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2005-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide Spread
Elo 24.4% (#27) 75.6% (#12) -
Bradley-Terry 37.8% (#63) 62.2% (#44) -
Margin 26.7% (#73) 73.3% (#48) Alabama... -5.5
Pythagorean 7.7% (#115) 92.3% (#11) -
Efficiency 1.0% (#253) 99.0% (#27) -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% (#104) 99.0% (#9) -
Log Adjusted 1.0% (#104) 99.0% (#9) -

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Georgia Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide
Games 4 26
PPG 50.5 74.8
FG% 35.9% 47.8%
3PT% 22.2% 39.2%
FT% 54.5% 73.9%
RPG 26.8 36.8
APG 6.8 14.1
SPG 7.3 4.9
BPG 2.8 4.3
TOPG 16.8 12.7

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Georgia Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide
Adj. Off Eff 92.6 108.7
Adj. Def Eff 107.4 91.3
Adj. Net Eff -14.8 17.4

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Georgia Bulldogs Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
S. Gaines 12.0 4.9 2.9 2.4 0.3 34.4
L. Stukes 15.2 3.5 1.2 1.8 0.3 33.5
C. Toney 9.8 3.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 30.2
S. Newman 7.2 4.1 1.2 0.8 0.7 26.5
K. Brophy 3.8 1.6 1.4 0.7 0.0 22.8

Alabama Crimson Tide Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
J. Roberson 17.7 5.4 2.7 0.3 0.2 34.7
R. Steele 7.7 3.4 5.0 1.1 0.1 34.4
E. Shelton 15.9 3.5 2.0 0.8 0.1 33.2
C. Davis 13.4 6.5 2.0 0.8 1.7 33.0
J. Davidson 8.2 8.4 1.0 0.3 1.6 26.9