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2005-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide Spread
Elo 7.3% (#283) 92.7% (#34) -
Bradley-Terry 8.3% (#239) 91.7% (#23) -
Margin 1.9% (#193) 98.1% (#18) Alabama... -21.7
Pythagorean 16.4% (#294) 83.6% (#20) -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% (#191) 99.0% (#20) -
Log Adjusted 1.0% (#191) 99.0% (#20) -
Points Off/Def 13.6% (#201) 86.4% (#18) -

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Georgia Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide
Games 4 26
PPG 50.5 74.8
FG% 35.9% 47.8%
3PT% 22.2% 39.2%
FT% 54.5% 73.9%
RPG 26.8 36.8
APG 6.8 14.1
SPG 7.3 4.9
BPG 2.8 4.3
TOPG 16.8 12.7

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Georgia Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide
Adj. Off Eff 98.3 111.7
Adj. Def Eff 101.7 88.3
Adj. Net Eff -3.4 23.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Georgia Bulldogs Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
S. Gaines 12.0 4.9 2.9 2.4 0.3 34.4
L. Stukes 15.2 3.5 1.2 1.8 0.3 33.5
C. Toney 9.8 3.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 30.2
S. Newman 7.2 4.1 1.2 0.8 0.7 26.5
K. Brophy 3.8 1.6 1.4 0.7 0.0 22.8

Alabama Crimson Tide Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
J. Roberson 17.7 5.4 2.7 0.3 0.2 34.7
R. Steele 7.7 3.4 5.0 1.1 0.1 34.4
E. Shelton 15.9 3.5 2.0 0.8 0.1 33.2
C. Davis 13.4 6.5 2.0 0.8 1.7 33.0
J. Davidson 8.2 8.4 1.0 0.3 1.6 26.9