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Justin Childs

Justin Childs

Team: UT Martin
Position: G

Season Averages — 2012-2013

ESPN · NCAAM · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 29 regular season. These are not regular-season totals.

GP MPG PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT%
29 24.7 8.4 3.8 1.9 1.3 0.3 2.9 7.8 5.1 35.7% 28.2% 78.8%

Plus/minus sample — 2012-2013: 21 games, 459.8 minutes, 1606.5 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.

Advanced Stats

Model outputs use a separate game sample from the counting statistics. Model output season: 2012-2013. Plus/minus scope: 21 games.

RAPM Rank Minutes Possessions Model PM Model PM/G Model PM/40
-0.34 1804 457 1571 -91 -4.3 -7.9

RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus. Current fits use points per 40 minutes above average; historical artifact units are unverified.

Stat models — 2012-2013

Leaderboards and Box vs Lineup

Each family in both forms, side by side: the rating, then its percentile among the season's players with that form (the bar). Lineup RAPM: on-court possessions from play-by-play, one regularized regression over the season. Box Elo: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Each is an on-floor team-rate impact, not the player's own count.

Family Lineup RAPM %ile Box Elo %ile
Points -0.3 60 -25.8 0
Threes 0.5 90 not published
Assists not published -9.8 0
OReb not published 0.4 57
DReb -0.4 27 not published
Stocks 0.6 81 not published
Turnovers 0.2 76 not published

Points' Lineup RAPM is RAPM itself. Held-out scores, a Box vs Lineup scatter and each form's team share: stat models.

Model Outputs — 2012-2013

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Adjusted Plus/Minus Adjusted Plus/Minus Unregularized adjusted plus-minus per 40 minutes. More → +1.50 (#1470) -
RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. SE 2.04 | Poss 1571 More → -0.34 (#1804) SE 2.04 | Poss 1571
RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. Off +0.07 | Def -0.44 More → -0.37 (#1948) Off +0.07 | Def -0.44
Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. PM/G -4.3 | PM/40 -7.9 More → -5.66 (#3168) PM/G -4.3 | PM/40 -7.9
Points Box Elo (offense) Points Box Elo (offense) Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For -11.53 | Prevent -14.25 | Net -25.79 | Min 631 More → -11.53 (#3627) Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For -11.53 | Prevent -14.25 | Net -25.79 | Min 631
Points Box Elo (defense) Points Box Elo (defense) Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For -11.53 | Prevent -14.25 | Net -25.79 | Min 631 More → -14.25 (#3695) Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For -11.53 | Prevent -14.25 | Net -25.79 | Min 631
Points Box Elo Points Box Elo Net point-differential Box Elo from points created plus points prevented. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For -11.53 | Prevent -14.25 | Net -25.79 | Min 631 More → -25.79 (#3702) Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For -11.53 | Prevent -14.25 | Net -25.79 | Min 631
OReb Box Elo OReb Box Elo Online player rating for the team's offensive rebound rate (OREB%) on offense. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; OReb% +0.38 | DReb% -1.03 | Min 631 More → +0.38 (#1597) Box: cannot separate teammates; OReb% +0.38 | DReb% -1.03 | Min 631
Assists Box Elo (offense) Assists Box Elo (offense) Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For -4.41 | Prevent -5.42 | Net -9.83 | Min 631 More → -4.41 (#3629) Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For -4.41 | Prevent -5.42 | Net -9.83 | Min 631
Assists Box Elo (defense) Assists Box Elo (defense) Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For -4.41 | Prevent -5.42 | Net -9.83 | Min 631 More → -5.42 (#3684) Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For -4.41 | Prevent -5.42 | Net -9.83 | Min 631
Assists Box Elo Assists Box Elo Net assist Box Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For -4.41 | Prevent -5.42 | Net -9.83 | Min 631 More → -9.83 (#3706) Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For -4.41 | Prevent -5.42 | Net -9.83 | Min 631
Threes Lineup RAPM Threes Lineup RAPM Ridge-regularized lineup regression of made threes per 100 possessions. More → +0.52 (#455) -
DReb Lineup RAPM DReb Lineup RAPM Ridge-regularized lineup regression of defensive rebounds per 100 possessions. More → -0.43 (#3281) -
Stocks Lineup RAPM Stocks Lineup RAPM Ridge-regularized lineup regression of steals plus blocks per 100 possessions. More → +0.56 (#841) -
Turnovers Lineup RAPM Turnovers Lineup RAPM Ridge-regularized lineup regression of turnovers (opponent minus own) per 100 possessions. More → +0.18 (#1105) -

Career Stats

ESPN · NCAAM · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 29 regular season. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.

Season League Team GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT% TS% eFG%
2013-2014 NCAAM UT Martin 30 21.3 6.3 3.3 1.0 1.3 0.2 1.3 5.7 5.1 41.5% 20.6% 69.0% 48.1 43.6
2012-2013 NCAAM UT Martin 29 24.7 8.4 3.8 1.9 1.3 0.3 2.9 7.8 5.1 35.7% 28.2% 78.8% 49.0 40.1

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Game Log

ESPN · NCAAM · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 29 regular season. These are not regular-season totals.

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
2013-03-06@Morehead State EaglesL66-73270-00-00-032303813.0+9.0
2013-03-02@Austin Peay GovernorsL58-91265-161-59-13711002013.0-7.9
2013-02-28@Murray State RacersW69-68204-71-20-061201910.0+2.1
2013-02-23vsLongwood LancersW89-79141-70-00-0301012-2.0-1.7
2013-02-21@Tennessee Tech Golden EaglesL68-83264-91-20-05122199.0-4.2
2013-02-16vsSoutheast Missouri State RedhawksL74-96231-110-22-25410142.0-
2013-02-09vsSIU Edwardsville CougarsW77-6893-30-00-21111166.0-
2013-02-07vsEastern Illinois PanthersL65-93243-71-33-442001108.0-11.6
2013-01-31vsEastern Kentucky ColonelsW72-6520-00-00-0000010-1.0-1.5
2013-01-26@SIU Edwardsville CougarsW65-62132-61-10-0500055-1.0-
2013-01-24@Eastern Illinois PanthersL56-6921-20-00-01000120.0-3.1
2013-01-19vsMorehead State EaglesL74-88272-90-32-2300166-5.0-1.3
2013-01-12@Belmont BruinsL53-90255-121-43-372015147.0-6.2
2013-01-10@Tennessee State TigersL48-80303-80-30-05020362.0-
2013-01-05vsAustin Peay GovernorsW76-74202-42-20-01200560.0-13.2
2013-01-03vsMurray State RacersL62-73323-110-30-05430463.0-1.2
2012-12-31vsJacksonville State GamecocksL54-64274-81-33-432012128.0+4.8
2012-12-29@Southeast Missouri State RedhawksL60-65121-61-30-0020143-4.0+0.2
2012-12-19vsSamford BulldogsL62-75284-90-01-22120392.0-10.9
2012-12-15@Saint Louis BillikensL51-73222-91-41-2311046-2.0-
2012-12-05@Central Arkansas BearsL86-87233-40-00-02310068.0-5.4
2012-12-01vsKennesaw State OwlsW65-63354-112-52-250205123.0-1.8
2012-11-29@Memphis TigersL65-93357-131-32-274107179.0-3.5
2012-11-24@Bradley BravesL57-80394-92-42-244307127.0-
2012-11-20vsLyon ScotsW92-58230-00-00-0534041422.0-
2012-11-16vsArkansas State Red WolvesL73-77507-172-65-6962232120.0-
2012-11-14vsFontbonne FONTBONNEW84-58341-90-42-26821547.0-
2012-11-11@Cincinnati BearcatsL57-80363-102-52-221301105.0-2.8
2012-11-09@Little Rock TrojansL68-84312-100-42-2211016-1.0-