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Sara Caetano

Sara Caetano

Team: Bowling Green Falcons
Position: G

Career Averages

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 3 regular season. These are not regular-season totals.

GP MPG PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT%
3 22.3 10.0 6.3 2.3 3.0 0.0 1.7 6.7 13.3 65.0% 0.0% 66.7%

Plus/minus sample β€” 2026-2027: 3 games, 66.6 minutes, 257.6 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.

Advanced Stats

Model outputs use a separate game sample from the counting statistics. Model output season: 2026-2027. Plus/minus scope: 3 games.

RAPM Rank Minutes Possessions Model PM Model PM/G Model PM/40
+0.96 1075 65 240 +39 +13.0 +23.4

RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus. Current fits use points per 40 minutes above average; historical artifact units are unverified.

Stat models β€” 2026-2027

Leaderboards and Box vs Lineup

Each family in both forms, side by side: the rating, then its percentile among the season's players with that form (the bar). Lineup RAPM: on-court possessions from play-by-play, one regularized regression over the season. Box Elo: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Each is an on-floor team-rate impact, not the player's own count. Lineup RAPM is not published for 2026-2027 (apart from RAPM itself).

Family Lineup RAPM %ile Box Elo %ile
Points 1.0 75 3.3 61
Threes not published 1.0 83
Assists not published 2.0 82
OReb not published -0.1 37
DReb not published 1.2 66
Stocks not published 0.4 50
Turnovers not published -0.1 39

Points' Lineup RAPM is RAPM itself. Held-out scores, a Box vs Lineup scatter and each form's team share: stat models.

Model Outputs β€” 2026-2027

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Adjusted Plus/Minus Adjusted Plus/Minus Unregularized adjusted plus-minus per 40 minutes. More β†’ -6.10 (#2669) -
RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. SE 4.26 | Poss 240 More β†’ +0.96 (#1075) SE 4.26 | Poss 240
RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. Off +0.36 | Def +0.58 More β†’ +0.94 (#1039) Off +0.36 | Def +0.58
Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. PM/G +13.0 | PM/40 +23.4 More β†’ +15.14 (#1248) PM/G +13.0 | PM/40 +23.4
Points Box Elo (offense) Points Box Elo (offense) Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For +1.51 | Prevent +1.80 | Net +3.31 | Min 67 More β†’ +1.51 (#1018) Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For +1.51 | Prevent +1.80 | Net +3.31 | Min 67
Points Box Elo (defense) Points Box Elo (defense) Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For +1.51 | Prevent +1.80 | Net +3.31 | Min 67 More β†’ +1.80 (#940) Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For +1.51 | Prevent +1.80 | Net +3.31 | Min 67
Points Box Elo Points Box Elo Net point-differential Box Elo from points created plus points prevented. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For +1.51 | Prevent +1.80 | Net +3.31 | Min 67 More β†’ +3.31 (#953) Box: cannot separate teammates; Pts For +1.51 | Prevent +1.80 | Net +3.31 | Min 67
OReb Box Elo OReb Box Elo Online player rating for the team's offensive rebound rate (OREB%) on offense. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; OReb% -0.14 | DReb% +1.16 | Min 67 More β†’ -0.14 (#1550) Box: cannot separate teammates; OReb% -0.14 | DReb% +1.16 | Min 67
DReb Box Elo DReb Box Elo Online player rating for the team's defensive rebound rate (DREB%) on defense. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; OReb% -0.14 | DReb% +1.16 | Min 67 More β†’ +1.16 (#847) Box: cannot separate teammates; OReb% -0.14 | DReb% +1.16 | Min 67
Assists Box Elo (offense) Assists Box Elo (offense) Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For +0.87 | Prevent +1.09 | Net +1.95 | Min 67 More β†’ +0.87 (#654) Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For +0.87 | Prevent +1.09 | Net +1.95 | Min 67
Assists Box Elo (defense) Assists Box Elo (defense) Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For +0.87 | Prevent +1.09 | Net +1.95 | Min 67 More β†’ +1.09 (#421) Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For +0.87 | Prevent +1.09 | Net +1.95 | Min 67
Assists Box Elo Assists Box Elo Net assist Box Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For +0.87 | Prevent +1.09 | Net +1.95 | Min 67 More β†’ +1.95 (#435) Box: cannot separate teammates; Ast For +0.87 | Prevent +1.09 | Net +1.95 | Min 67
Threes Box Elo (offense) Threes Box Elo (offense) Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; 3PM For +0.48 | Prevent +0.51 | Net +0.99 | Min 67 More β†’ +0.48 (#604) Box: cannot separate teammates; 3PM For +0.48 | Prevent +0.51 | Net +0.99 | Min 67
Threes Box Elo (defense) Threes Box Elo (defense) Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; 3PM For +0.48 | Prevent +0.51 | Net +0.99 | Min 67 More β†’ +0.51 (#518) Box: cannot separate teammates; 3PM For +0.48 | Prevent +0.51 | Net +0.99 | Min 67
Threes Box Elo Threes Box Elo Net made-three Box Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; 3PM For +0.48 | Prevent +0.51 | Net +0.99 | Min 67 More β†’ +0.99 (#408) Box: cannot separate teammates; 3PM For +0.48 | Prevent +0.51 | Net +0.99 | Min 67
Stocks Box Elo (offense) Stocks Box Elo (offense) Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; Stocks For +0.26 | Prevent +0.10 | Net +0.36 | Min 67 More β†’ +0.26 (#1005) Box: cannot separate teammates; Stocks For +0.26 | Prevent +0.10 | Net +0.36 | Min 67
Stocks Box Elo (defense) Stocks Box Elo (defense) Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; Stocks For +0.26 | Prevent +0.10 | Net +0.36 | Min 67 More β†’ +0.10 (#1525) Box: cannot separate teammates; Stocks For +0.26 | Prevent +0.10 | Net +0.36 | Min 67
Stocks Box Elo Stocks Box Elo Net stocks Box Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; Stocks For +0.26 | Prevent +0.10 | Net +0.36 | Min 67 More β†’ +0.36 (#1219) Box: cannot separate teammates; Stocks For +0.26 | Prevent +0.10 | Net +0.36 | Min 67
Turnovers Box Elo (ball security) Turnovers Box Elo (ball security) Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; TOV For -0.13 | Prevent +0.08 | Net -0.05 | Min 67 More β†’ -0.13 (#1721) Box: cannot separate teammates; TOV For -0.13 | Prevent +0.08 | Net -0.05 | Min 67
Turnovers Box Elo (forcing) Turnovers Box Elo (forcing) Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; TOV For -0.13 | Prevent +0.08 | Net -0.05 | Min 67 More β†’ +0.08 (#1235) Box: cannot separate teammates; TOV For -0.13 | Prevent +0.08 | Net -0.05 | Min 67
Turnovers Box Elo Turnovers Box Elo Net turnover Box Elo from ball security plus turnover force. Box: game totals spread by minutes; cannot separate teammates; for seasons without play-by-play. Box: cannot separate teammates; TOV For -0.13 | Prevent +0.08 | Net -0.05 | Min 67 More β†’ -0.05 (#1510) Box: cannot separate teammates; TOV For -0.13 | Prevent +0.08 | Net -0.05 | Min 67

Shot Chart β€” 2026-2027

13/20 FG (65.0%), 26 points from the field in 3 games Β· ESPN shot locations Β· compared with the 2025-2026 league average (latest season on file)

made missed
70%7/10 83%5/6 100%1/1 0%0/1 0%0/1 0%0/1
FG% by zone: above below league average (zones with 5+ attempts)
0/1 (0.0%), -33.0 vs league0/1 (0.0%), -30.7 vs league1/1 (100.0%), +59.1 vs league1/1 (100.0%), +41.4 vs league1/1 (100.0%), +59.1 vs league4/5 (80.0%), +21.4 vs league1/2 (50.0%), -8.6 vs league0/1 (0.0%), -40.9 vs league2/3 (66.7%), +8.1 vs league2/2 (100.0%), +59.1 vs league1/1 (100.0%), +68.2 vs league0/1 (0.0%), -31.8 vs league
Where the shots come from: a bigger hexagon, more attempts; above below the league's FG% in that zone (2+ attempts)
Zone FGM FGA FG% League FG%+/- % of FGA
Restricted area 7 10 70.0 58.6 +11.4 50.0
Paint (non-RA) 5 6 83.3 40.9 +42.4 30.0
Mid-range left 0 0 - 32.4 - 0.0
Mid-range center 0 0 - 35.8 - 0.0
Mid-range right 1 1 100.0 31.8 +68.2 5.0
Left corner 3 0 1 0.0 33.0 -33.0 5.0
Right corner 3 0 0 - 32.6 - 0.0
Above-break 3 left 0 1 0.0 30.7 -30.7 5.0
Above-break 3 center 0 0 - 30.4 - 0.0
Above-break 3 right 0 1 0.0 30.9 -30.9 5.0

Career Stats

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 3 regular season. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.

Season League Team GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT% TS% eFG%
2026-2027 NCAAW Bowling Green Falcons 3 22.3 10.0 6.3 2.3 3.0 0.0 1.7 6.7 13.3 65.0% 0.0% 66.7% 66.3 65.0

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Game Log

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 3 regular season. These are not regular-season totals.

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
2026-11-10vsBellarmine KnightsW91-66113-30-00-13100067.0+2.4
2026-11-05vsCleveland State VikingsW77-73286-90-22-2346031415.0-0.4
2026-11-02vsGeorgia Southern EaglesW82-59284-80-12-31323021018.0+12.9