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Lucas Hobin

Lucas Hobin

Team: Air Force

Career Averages

ESPN Β· NCAAM Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 32 regular season. These are not regular-season totals.

GP MPG PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT%
32 29.0 11.4 2.0 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.3 9.4 3.8 35.9% 31.8% 83.3%

Plus/minus sample β€” 2025-2026: 22 games, 609.9 minutes, 2166.5 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.

Advanced Stats

Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 22 games.

RAPM Rank Minutes Possessions Model PM Model PM/G Model PM/40
-2.71 4084 609 2166 -311 -14.1 -20.4

RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)

Model Outputs β€” 2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. SE 2.86 | Poss 2167 More β†’ -2.71 (#4084) SE 2.86 | Poss 2167
RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. Off -0.73 | Def -1.98 More β†’ -2.71 (#4084) Off -0.73 | Def -1.98
Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. PM/G -14.1 | PM/40 -20.4 More β†’ -14.35 (#4274) PM/G -14.1 | PM/40 -20.4
Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. Vec (-2.50, -0.19) | Norm 2.51 More β†’ -7.282 (#1821) Vec (-2.50, -0.19) | Norm 2.51
Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. Pts For -1.24 | Prevent +0.74 | Net -0.49 | Min 235 More β†’ -1.24 (#5937) Pts For -1.24 | Prevent +0.74 | Net -0.49 | Min 235
Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. Pts For -1.24 | Prevent +0.74 | Net -0.49 | Min 235 More β†’ +0.74 (#1547) Pts For -1.24 | Prevent +0.74 | Net -0.49 | Min 235
Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. Pts For -1.24 | Prevent +0.74 | Net -0.49 | Min 235 More β†’ -0.49 (#4770) Pts For -1.24 | Prevent +0.74 | Net -0.49 | Min 235
Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. Reb For -0.42 | Prevent +0.39 | Net -0.03 | Min 235 More β†’ -0.42 (#5451) Reb For -0.42 | Prevent +0.39 | Net -0.03 | Min 235
Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. Reb For -0.42 | Prevent +0.39 | Net -0.03 | Min 235 More β†’ +0.39 (#1298) Reb For -0.42 | Prevent +0.39 | Net -0.03 | Min 235
Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. OReb For -0.86 | Prevent +0.86 | Net -0.00 | Min 235 More β†’ -0.86 (#6198) OReb For -0.86 | Prevent +0.86 | Net -0.00 | Min 235
Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. OReb For -0.86 | Prevent +0.86 | Net -0.00 | Min 235 More β†’ +0.86 (#172) OReb For -0.86 | Prevent +0.86 | Net -0.00 | Min 235
Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. OReb For -0.86 | Prevent +0.86 | Net -0.00 | Min 235 More β†’ -0.00 (#4014) OReb For -0.86 | Prevent +0.86 | Net -0.00 | Min 235
Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. DReb For -2.16 | Prevent +2.15 | Net -0.00 | Min 235 More β†’ -2.16 (#6232) DReb For -2.16 | Prevent +2.15 | Net -0.00 | Min 235
Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. DReb For -2.16 | Prevent +2.15 | Net -0.00 | Min 235 More β†’ +2.15 (#163) DReb For -2.16 | Prevent +2.15 | Net -0.00 | Min 235
Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. DReb For -2.16 | Prevent +2.15 | Net -0.00 | Min 235 More β†’ -0.00 (#4196) DReb For -2.16 | Prevent +2.15 | Net -0.00 | Min 235
Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo superseded Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. Reb For -0.42 | Prevent +0.39 | Net -0.03 | Min 235 More β†’ -0.03 (#3788) Reb For -0.42 | Prevent +0.39 | Net -0.03 | Min 235
Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. Ast For -0.16 | Prevent +0.27 | Net +0.11 | Min 235 More β†’ -0.16 (#4479) Ast For -0.16 | Prevent +0.27 | Net +0.11 | Min 235
Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. Ast For -0.16 | Prevent +0.27 | Net +0.11 | Min 235 More β†’ +0.27 (#1331) Ast For -0.16 | Prevent +0.27 | Net +0.11 | Min 235
Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. Ast For -0.16 | Prevent +0.27 | Net +0.11 | Min 235 More β†’ +0.11 (#2747) Ast For -0.16 | Prevent +0.27 | Net +0.11 | Min 235
Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. 3PM For -0.26 | Prevent +0.09 | Net -0.17 | Min 235 More β†’ -0.26 (#5518) 3PM For -0.26 | Prevent +0.09 | Net -0.17 | Min 235
Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. 3PM For -0.26 | Prevent +0.09 | Net -0.17 | Min 235 More β†’ +0.09 (#2044) 3PM For -0.26 | Prevent +0.09 | Net -0.17 | Min 235
Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. 3PM For -0.26 | Prevent +0.09 | Net -0.17 | Min 235 More β†’ -0.17 (#4951) 3PM For -0.26 | Prevent +0.09 | Net -0.17 | Min 235
Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. Stocks For -0.11 | Prevent +0.20 | Net +0.09 | Min 235 More β†’ -0.11 (#4426) Stocks For -0.11 | Prevent +0.20 | Net +0.09 | Min 235
Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. Stocks For -0.11 | Prevent +0.20 | Net +0.09 | Min 235 More β†’ +0.20 (#1127) Stocks For -0.11 | Prevent +0.20 | Net +0.09 | Min 235
Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. Stocks For -0.11 | Prevent +0.20 | Net +0.09 | Min 235 More β†’ +0.09 (#2445) Stocks For -0.11 | Prevent +0.20 | Net +0.09 | Min 235
Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. TOV For -0.03 | Prevent +0.02 | Net -0.01 | Min 235 More β†’ -0.03 (#3925) TOV For -0.03 | Prevent +0.02 | Net -0.01 | Min 235
Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. TOV For -0.03 | Prevent +0.02 | Net -0.01 | Min 235 More β†’ +0.02 (#2683) TOV For -0.03 | Prevent +0.02 | Net -0.01 | Min 235
Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. TOV For -0.03 | Prevent +0.02 | Net -0.01 | Min 235 More β†’ -0.01 (#3329) TOV For -0.03 | Prevent +0.02 | Net -0.01 | Min 235

Shot Chart β€” 2025-2026

108/301 FG (35.9%), 286 points from the field Β· ESPN shot locations Β· compared with the 2025-2026 league average

made missed
51%19/37 48%13/27 33%2/6 33%1/3 33%3/9 30%7/23 62%10/16 31%30/97 25%6/24 29%17/59
FG% by zone: above below league average (zones with 5+ attempts)
Zone FGM FGA FG% League FG%+/- % of FGA
Restricted area 19 37 51.4 64.5 -13.1 12.3
Paint (non-RA) 13 27 48.1 45.2 +2.9 9.0
Mid-range left 2 6 33.3 36.6 -3.3 2.0
Mid-range center 1 3 33.3 38.6 -5.3 1.0
Mid-range right 3 9 33.3 37.4 -4.1 3.0
Left corner 3 7 23 30.4 36.5 -6.1 7.6
Right corner 3 10 16 62.5 36.9 +25.6 5.3
Above-break 3 left 30 97 30.9 34.1 -3.2 32.2
Above-break 3 center 6 24 25.0 32.8 -7.8 8.0
Above-break 3 right 17 59 28.8 33.6 -4.8 19.6

Career Stats

ESPN Β· NCAAM Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 32 regular season. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.

Season League Team GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT% TS% eFG%
2025-2026 NCAAM Air Force 32 29.0 11.4 2.0 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.3 9.4 3.8 35.9% 31.8% 83.3% 53.3 47.5

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Game Log

ESPN Β· NCAAM Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 32 regular season. These are not regular-season totals.

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
2026-03-11 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 45-80 30 1-11 0-7 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -7.0 -
2026-03-07 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 59-74 30 0-4 0-2 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -3.0 -
2026-03-03 vs Grand Canyon Lopes L 60-86 32 2-6 1-5 6-6 6 1 0 0 0 11 12.0 -3.6
2026-02-28 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 62-66 30 2-7 1-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 5 0.0 +4.4
2026-02-24 vs San JosΓ© State Spart L 80-86 37 6-14 5-12 4-4 1 0 0 0 1 21 7.0 +2.3
2026-02-21 vs UNLV Rebels L 66-91 35 6-14 4-9 3-3 2 0 0 0 2 19 5.0 -21.7
2026-02-17 @ New Mexico Lobos L 61-98 30 2-10 1-8 5-5 1 0 0 0 2 10 -1.0 -16.4
2026-02-14 @ Fresno State Bulldog L 63-93 30 8-14 5-10 5-5 2 0 0 0 0 26 14.0 -11.3
2026-02-10 vs Colorado State Rams L 74-91 31 6-11 5-9 0-1 0 1 0 0 1 17 6.0 -10.9
2026-02-07 vs San Diego State Azte L 54-88 27 2-8 2-7 2-2 1 2 0 0 3 8 0.0 -12.1
2026-02-03 @ Grand Canyon Lopes L 57-81 27 4-11 1-7 3-3 3 0 0 0 4 12 0.0 -1.8
2026-01-31 vs Fresno State Bulldog L 62-79 28 2-9 1-7 1-1 5 1 0 0 3 6 0.0 -15.1
2026-01-24 @ Boise State Broncos L 54-96 28 3-9 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 7 0.0 -20.5
2026-01-20 @ Colorado State Rams L 52-81 30 3-10 1-7 3-3 2 2 1 0 1 10 4.0 -14.4
2026-01-17 vs Nevada Wolf Pack L 66-81 35 7-13 6-11 2-2 4 1 0 1 2 22 13.0 -
2026-01-13 @ San JosΓ© State Spart L 62-70 30 4-9 3-8 5-6 2 0 0 0 1 16 8.0 +1.7
2026-01-10 vs New Mexico Lobos L 49-91 24 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 2 -1.0 -9.9
2026-01-06 vs Utah State Aggies L 62-99 27 3-10 3-7 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 9 -1.0 +1.3
2026-01-03 @ UNLV Rebels L 39-67 25 4-12 1-7 2-2 1 1 2 0 0 11 3.0 -11.9
2025-12-30 vs Wyoming Cowboys L 56-68 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 -1.0 -9.5
2025-12-17 @ San Diego State Azte L 58-81 23 3-8 3-8 2-2 0 0 0 0 3 11 0.0 +0.7
2025-12-07 @ Navy Midshipmen L 56-61 34 4-11 2-8 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 10 6.0 +3.3
2025-12-03 vs Pacific Tigers L 65-80 34 4-10 3-8 8-12 1 2 0 0 1 19 11.0 -
2025-11-29 @ South Dakota Coyotes L 63-80 33 2-9 1-6 7-8 2 0 0 1 1 12 5.0 -
2025-11-26 vs Northern Colorado Be L 53-71 32 2-6 1-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 7 0.0 +1.5
2025-11-23 vs IU Indianapolis Jagu W 98-85 36 8-13 5-10 6-6 3 2 0 0 2 27 17.0 +12.6
2025-11-21 vs SIU Edwardsville Cou W 77-63 38 2-10 2-8 6-10 4 0 2 0 0 12 8.0 -
2025-11-19 vs Alabama State Hornet W 66-64 39 6-13 4-10 4-4 2 1 1 0 1 20 10.0 -
2025-11-15 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks L 61-76 31 5-12 4-9 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 16 7.0 -
2025-11-11 vs Long Island Universi L 72-76 9 2-5 1-3 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 6 3.0 -
2025-11-08 vs Austin Peay Governor L 54-74 17 1-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 -4.0 -
2025-11-03 @ Belmont Bruins L 63-79 20 3-10 3-8 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 9 1.0 -