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Meg Lucas

Meg Lucas

Team: Buffalo Bulls
Position: F

Season Averages β€” 2025-2026

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 29 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.

GP MPG PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT%
29 29.9 9.9 9.6 0.9 1.4 0.2 2.5 8.6 11.0 47.2% 20.0% 64.1%

Plus/minus sample β€” 2025-2026: 25 games, 693.0 minutes, 2263.9 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.

Advanced Stats

Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 25 games.

RAPM Rank Minutes Possessions Model PM Model PM/G Model PM/40
-2.02 3092 693 2263 -280 -11.2 -16.2

RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)

Model Outputs β€” 2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. SE 2.59 | Poss 2264 More β†’ -2.02 (#3092) SE 2.59 | Poss 2264
RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. Off -0.56 | Def -1.45 More β†’ -2.02 (#3092) Off -0.56 | Def -1.45
Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. PM/G -11.2 | PM/40 -16.2 More β†’ -12.37 (#4311) PM/G -11.2 | PM/40 -16.2
Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. Vec (+5.44, -1.50) | Norm 5.64 More β†’ -2.735 (#3268) Vec (+5.44, -1.50) | Norm 5.64
Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. Pts For -2.88 | Prevent -1.94 | Net -4.82 | Min 765 More β†’ -2.88 (#4171) Pts For -2.88 | Prevent -1.94 | Net -4.82 | Min 765
Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. Pts For -2.88 | Prevent -1.94 | Net -4.82 | Min 765 More β†’ -1.94 (#4059) Pts For -2.88 | Prevent -1.94 | Net -4.82 | Min 765
Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. Pts For -2.88 | Prevent -1.94 | Net -4.82 | Min 765 More β†’ -4.82 (#4179) Pts For -2.88 | Prevent -1.94 | Net -4.82 | Min 765
Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. Reb For -0.18 | Prevent +0.23 | Net +0.05 | Min 765 More β†’ -0.18 (#2890) Reb For -0.18 | Prevent +0.23 | Net +0.05 | Min 765
Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. Reb For -0.18 | Prevent +0.23 | Net +0.05 | Min 765 More β†’ +0.23 (#1463) Reb For -0.18 | Prevent +0.23 | Net +0.05 | Min 765
Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. OReb For +0.49 | Prevent -0.14 | Net +0.35 | Min 765 More β†’ +0.49 (#542) OReb For +0.49 | Prevent -0.14 | Net +0.35 | Min 765
Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. OReb For +0.49 | Prevent -0.14 | Net +0.35 | Min 765 More β†’ -0.14 (#3200) OReb For +0.49 | Prevent -0.14 | Net +0.35 | Min 765
Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. OReb For +0.49 | Prevent -0.14 | Net +0.35 | Min 765 More β†’ +0.35 (#1068) OReb For +0.49 | Prevent -0.14 | Net +0.35 | Min 765
Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. DReb For -0.68 | Prevent +0.37 | Net -0.30 | Min 765 More β†’ -0.68 (#3945) DReb For -0.68 | Prevent +0.37 | Net -0.30 | Min 765
Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. DReb For -0.68 | Prevent +0.37 | Net -0.30 | Min 765 More β†’ +0.37 (#804) DReb For -0.68 | Prevent +0.37 | Net -0.30 | Min 765
Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. DReb For -0.68 | Prevent +0.37 | Net -0.30 | Min 765 More β†’ -0.30 (#3087) DReb For -0.68 | Prevent +0.37 | Net -0.30 | Min 765
Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo superseded Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. Reb For -0.18 | Prevent +0.23 | Net +0.05 | Min 765 More β†’ +0.05 (#2230) Reb For -0.18 | Prevent +0.23 | Net +0.05 | Min 765
Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. Ast For -0.53 | Prevent -0.77 | Net -1.31 | Min 765 More β†’ -0.53 (#3752) Ast For -0.53 | Prevent -0.77 | Net -1.31 | Min 765
Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. Ast For -0.53 | Prevent -0.77 | Net -1.31 | Min 765 More β†’ -0.77 (#4079) Ast For -0.53 | Prevent -0.77 | Net -1.31 | Min 765
Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. Ast For -0.53 | Prevent -0.77 | Net -1.31 | Min 765 More β†’ -1.31 (#4084) Ast For -0.53 | Prevent -0.77 | Net -1.31 | Min 765
Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. 3PM For -0.83 | Prevent +0.04 | Net -0.79 | Min 765 More β†’ -0.83 (#4194) 3PM For -0.83 | Prevent +0.04 | Net -0.79 | Min 765
Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. 3PM For -0.83 | Prevent +0.04 | Net -0.79 | Min 765 More β†’ +0.04 (#1826) 3PM For -0.83 | Prevent +0.04 | Net -0.79 | Min 765
Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. 3PM For -0.83 | Prevent +0.04 | Net -0.79 | Min 765 More β†’ -0.79 (#4129) 3PM For -0.83 | Prevent +0.04 | Net -0.79 | Min 765
Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. Stocks For -0.28 | Prevent -0.56 | Net -0.84 | Min 765 More β†’ -0.28 (#3282) Stocks For -0.28 | Prevent -0.56 | Net -0.84 | Min 765
Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. Stocks For -0.28 | Prevent -0.56 | Net -0.84 | Min 765 More β†’ -0.56 (#4053) Stocks For -0.28 | Prevent -0.56 | Net -0.84 | Min 765
Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. Stocks For -0.28 | Prevent -0.56 | Net -0.84 | Min 765 More β†’ -0.84 (#3944) Stocks For -0.28 | Prevent -0.56 | Net -0.84 | Min 765
Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. TOV For -1.13 | Prevent -0.13 | Net -1.26 | Min 765 More β†’ -1.13 (#4199) TOV For -1.13 | Prevent -0.13 | Net -1.26 | Min 765
Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. TOV For -1.13 | Prevent -0.13 | Net -1.26 | Min 765 More β†’ -0.13 (#2669) TOV For -1.13 | Prevent -0.13 | Net -1.26 | Min 765
Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. TOV For -1.13 | Prevent -0.13 | Net -1.26 | Min 765 More β†’ -1.26 (#4104) TOV For -1.13 | Prevent -0.13 | Net -1.26 | Min 765

Shot Chart β€” 2025-2026

117/248 FG (47.2%), 236 points from the field Β· ESPN shot locations Β· compared with the 2025-2026 league average

made missed
58%67/116 37%33/90 0%0/2 62%5/8 46%10/22 100%1/1 0%0/2 0%0/1 17%1/6
FG% by zone: above below league average (zones with 5+ attempts)
Zone FGM FGA FG% League FG%+/- % of FGA
Restricted area 67 116 57.8 58.6 -0.8 46.8
Paint (non-RA) 33 90 36.7 40.9 -4.2 36.3
Mid-range left 0 2 0.0 32.4 -32.4 0.8
Mid-range center 5 8 62.5 35.8 +26.7 3.2
Mid-range right 10 22 45.5 31.8 +13.7 8.9
Left corner 3 0 0 - 33.0 - 0.0
Right corner 3 1 1 100.0 32.6 +67.4 0.4
Above-break 3 left 0 2 0.0 30.7 -30.7 0.8
Above-break 3 center 0 1 0.0 30.4 -30.4 0.4
Above-break 3 right 1 6 16.7 30.9 -14.2 2.4

Career Stats

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 29 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.

Season League Team GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT% TS% eFG%
2025-2026 NCAAW Buffalo Bulls 29 29.9 9.9 9.6 0.9 1.4 0.2 2.5 8.6 11.0 47.2% 20.0% 64.1% 50.7 47.6

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Game Log

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 29 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
2026-03-07 @ Massachusetts Minute L 55-73 27 3-8 0-0 3-4 9 1 3 0 2 9 12.0 -
2026-03-04 @ Northern Illinois Hu L 53-56 16 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 4 4.0 -
2026-02-28 vs Toledo Rockets W 69-66 30 6-11 0-0 2-3 5 0 2 1 1 14 10.0 -
2026-02-25 vs Western Michigan Bro L 43-58 37 5-12 0-0 5-7 6 2 2 0 7 15 6.0 -
2026-02-21 @ Eastern Michigan Eag L 63-73 30 9-15 0-0 4-4 13 1 2 0 4 22 19.0 -
2026-02-18 vs Ball State Cardinals L 55-88 35 1-8 0-1 4-4 12 0 4 0 5 6 9.0 -
2026-02-10 @ Bowling Green Falcon L 61-72 40 7-18 0-0 1-2 12 3 1 0 1 15 12.0 -
2026-02-07 vs UL Monroe Warhawks L 64-73 33 7-13 0-0 3-7 8 2 2 0 2 17 14.0 -
2026-02-04 vs Central Michigan Chi L 59-90 24 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 2 7.0 -
2026-01-31 @ Akron Zips L 72-76 37 6-11 0-0 4-6 12 0 1 1 5 16 14.0 -
2026-01-28 vs Eastern Michigan Eag L 51-71 21 3-3 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 0 2 8 10.0 -
2026-01-24 vs Kent State Golden Fl L 74-84 27 3-6 0-0 0-2 7 0 1 1 0 6 9.0 -
2026-01-21 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks L 52-76 28 5-9 0-0 2-2 10 0 3 0 2 12 14.0 -
2026-01-17 vs Massachusetts Minute L 67-79 36 7-13 0-1 3-3 9 0 1 0 2 17 12.0 -
2026-01-14 @ Ball State Cardinals L 61-103 35 2-5 1-2 0-2 9 1 0 0 0 5 10.0 -
2026-01-10 vs Ohio Bobcats L 59-71 31 2-3 0-0 1-1 12 0 0 0 3 5 11.0 -
2026-01-03 @ Western Michigan Bro L 65-83 25 7-7 0-0 0-4 11 0 1 0 5 14 14.0 -
2025-12-31 @ Toledo Rockets L 46-79 25 3-9 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 6 1.0 -
2025-12-20 @ Abilene Christian Wi L 48-72 26 0-5 0-1 0-0 5 3 2 0 2 0 3.0 -
2025-12-19 vs Tarleton State Texan L 65-70 36 6-11 0-0 1-2 17 0 1 0 3 13 17.0 -
2025-12-06 @ Binghamton Bearcats L 58-71 36 5-12 0-1 4-5 15 2 2 1 2 14 20.0 -
2025-12-03 vs Niagara Purple Eagle W 77-51 22 3-6 0-0 3-4 9 2 5 0 0 9 19.0 -
2025-11-29 vs Hampton Lady Pirates L 56-58 34 6-8 0-0 0-0 16 2 2 0 2 12 22.0 -
2025-11-27 vs Longwood Lancers L 64-68 27 2-6 0-0 0-0 15 0 1 1 4 4 11.0 -
2025-11-19 @ St. Bonaventure Bonn L 57-64 22 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 6 2.0 -
2025-11-16 vs Fordham Rams W 67-59 34 3-9 0-0 4-6 14 0 0 0 5 10 10.0 -
2025-11-12 @ Vermont Catamounts L 55-73 34 8-13 1-2 2-2 9 2 2 0 2 19 17.0 -
2025-11-09 vs Kentucky Wildcats L 47-81 27 1-6 0-1 1-2 11 2 0 0 4 3 6.0 -
2025-11-03 @ Marshall Thundering L 39-53 31 1-7 0-0 1-2 6 1 3 1 4 3 3.0 -