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Luka Bogavac

Luka Bogavac

Team: North Carolina

Season Averages β€” 2025-2026

ESPN Β· NCAAM Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 1 postseason, 32 regular season. These are not regular-season totals.

GP MPG PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT%
33 24.4 9.8 2.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 1.2 8.2 5.5 40.2% 34.9% 73.6%

Plus/minus sample β€” 2025-2026: 30 games, 686.6 minutes, 2436.9 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.

Advanced Stats

Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 30 games.

RAPM Rank Minutes Possessions Model PM Model PM/G Model PM/40
+1.38 790 686 2436 +170 +5.7 +9.9

RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)

Model Outputs β€” 2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. SE 2.40 | Poss 2437 More β†’ +1.38 (#790) SE 2.40 | Poss 2437
RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. Off +0.40 | Def +0.97 More β†’ +1.38 (#790) Off +0.40 | Def +0.97
Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. PM/G +5.7 | PM/40 +9.9 More β†’ +6.98 (#234) PM/G +5.7 | PM/40 +9.9
Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. Vec (+3.59, +4.02) | Norm 5.39 More β†’ -0.107 (#1332) Vec (+3.59, +4.02) | Norm 5.39
Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. Pts For +2.33 | Prevent +0.67 | Net +3.01 | Min 804 More β†’ +2.33 (#340) Pts For +2.33 | Prevent +0.67 | Net +3.01 | Min 804
Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. Pts For +2.33 | Prevent +0.67 | Net +3.01 | Min 804 More β†’ +0.67 (#1752) Pts For +2.33 | Prevent +0.67 | Net +3.01 | Min 804
Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. Pts For +2.33 | Prevent +0.67 | Net +3.01 | Min 804 More β†’ +3.01 (#263) Pts For +2.33 | Prevent +0.67 | Net +3.01 | Min 804
Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. Reb For +1.42 | Prevent +0.12 | Net +1.54 | Min 804 More β†’ +1.42 (#216) Reb For +1.42 | Prevent +0.12 | Net +1.54 | Min 804
Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. Reb For +1.42 | Prevent +0.12 | Net +1.54 | Min 804 More β†’ +0.12 (#2910) Reb For +1.42 | Prevent +0.12 | Net +1.54 | Min 804
Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. OReb For +0.64 | Prevent -0.52 | Net +0.13 | Min 804 More β†’ +0.64 (#871) OReb For +0.64 | Prevent -0.52 | Net +0.13 | Min 804
Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. OReb For +0.64 | Prevent -0.52 | Net +0.13 | Min 804 More β†’ -0.52 (#5391) OReb For +0.64 | Prevent -0.52 | Net +0.13 | Min 804
Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. OReb For +0.64 | Prevent -0.52 | Net +0.13 | Min 804 More β†’ +0.13 (#1496) OReb For +0.64 | Prevent -0.52 | Net +0.13 | Min 804
Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. DReb For +3.08 | Prevent -1.69 | Net +1.40 | Min 804 More β†’ +3.08 (#75) DReb For +3.08 | Prevent -1.69 | Net +1.40 | Min 804
Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. DReb For +3.08 | Prevent -1.69 | Net +1.40 | Min 804 More β†’ -1.69 (#5833) DReb For +3.08 | Prevent -1.69 | Net +1.40 | Min 804
Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. DReb For +3.08 | Prevent -1.69 | Net +1.40 | Min 804 More β†’ +1.40 (#148) DReb For +3.08 | Prevent -1.69 | Net +1.40 | Min 804
Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo superseded Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. Reb For +1.42 | Prevent +0.12 | Net +1.54 | Min 804 More β†’ +1.54 (#326) Reb For +1.42 | Prevent +0.12 | Net +1.54 | Min 804
Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. Ast For +0.86 | Prevent +0.47 | Net +1.32 | Min 804 More β†’ +0.86 (#325) Ast For +0.86 | Prevent +0.47 | Net +1.32 | Min 804
Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. Ast For +0.86 | Prevent +0.47 | Net +1.32 | Min 804 More β†’ +0.47 (#569) Ast For +0.86 | Prevent +0.47 | Net +1.32 | Min 804
Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. Ast For +0.86 | Prevent +0.47 | Net +1.32 | Min 804 More β†’ +1.32 (#218) Ast For +0.86 | Prevent +0.47 | Net +1.32 | Min 804
Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. 3PM For +0.35 | Prevent -0.07 | Net +0.28 | Min 804 More β†’ +0.35 (#780) 3PM For +0.35 | Prevent -0.07 | Net +0.28 | Min 804
Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. 3PM For +0.35 | Prevent -0.07 | Net +0.28 | Min 804 More β†’ -0.07 (#4629) 3PM For +0.35 | Prevent -0.07 | Net +0.28 | Min 804
Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. 3PM For +0.35 | Prevent -0.07 | Net +0.28 | Min 804 More β†’ +0.28 (#1053) 3PM For +0.35 | Prevent -0.07 | Net +0.28 | Min 804
Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. Stocks For -0.49 | Prevent +0.36 | Net -0.13 | Min 804 More β†’ -0.49 (#6065) Stocks For -0.49 | Prevent +0.36 | Net -0.13 | Min 804
Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. Stocks For -0.49 | Prevent +0.36 | Net -0.13 | Min 804 More β†’ +0.36 (#437) Stocks For -0.49 | Prevent +0.36 | Net -0.13 | Min 804
Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. Stocks For -0.49 | Prevent +0.36 | Net -0.13 | Min 804 More β†’ -0.13 (#4517) Stocks For -0.49 | Prevent +0.36 | Net -0.13 | Min 804
Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. TOV For +0.60 | Prevent -0.83 | Net -0.23 | Min 804 More β†’ +0.60 (#196) TOV For +0.60 | Prevent -0.83 | Net -0.23 | Min 804
Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. TOV For +0.60 | Prevent -0.83 | Net -0.23 | Min 804 More β†’ -0.83 (#6314) TOV For +0.60 | Prevent -0.83 | Net -0.23 | Min 804
Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. TOV For +0.60 | Prevent -0.83 | Net -0.23 | Min 804 More β†’ -0.23 (#5155) TOV For +0.60 | Prevent -0.83 | Net -0.23 | Min 804

Shot Chart β€” 2025-2026

109/271 FG (40.2%), 270 points from the field Β· ESPN shot locations Β· compared with the 2025-2026 league average

made missed Β· 1 long heave not drawn
63%22/35 33%19/58 65%13/20 20%1/5 50%2/4 50%7/14 50%2/4 28%16/57 45%14/31 30%13/43
FG% by zone: above below league average (zones with 5+ attempts)
Zone FGM FGA FG% League FG%+/- % of FGA
Restricted area 22 35 62.9 64.5 -1.6 12.9
Paint (non-RA) 19 58 32.8 45.2 -12.4 21.4
Mid-range left 13 20 65.0 36.6 +28.4 7.4
Mid-range center 1 5 20.0 38.6 -18.6 1.8
Mid-range right 2 4 50.0 37.4 +12.6 1.5
Left corner 3 7 14 50.0 36.5 +13.5 5.2
Right corner 3 2 4 50.0 36.9 +13.1 1.5
Above-break 3 left 16 57 28.1 34.1 -6.0 21.0
Above-break 3 center 14 31 45.2 32.8 +12.4 11.4
Above-break 3 right 13 43 30.2 33.6 -3.4 15.9

Career Stats

ESPN Β· NCAAM Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 1 postseason, 32 regular season. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.

Season League Team GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT% TS% eFG%
2025-2026 NCAAM North Carolina 33 24.4 9.8 2.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 1.2 8.2 5.5 40.2% 34.9% 73.6% 53.4 49.8

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Game Log

ESPN Β· NCAAM Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 1 postseason, 32 regular season. These are not regular-season totals.

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
2026-03-19 vs VCU Rams L 78-82 32 4-11 0-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 8 2.0 +10.3
2026-03-12 vs Clemson Tigers L 79-80 30 1-6 1-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 5 1.0 -3.5
2026-03-07 @ Duke Blue Devils L 61-76 22 2-6 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 6 -2.0 -9.2
2026-03-03 vs Clemson Tigers W 67-63 23 6-14 6-10 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 20 8.0 +22.6
2026-02-28 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 89-82 19 1-3 0-2 3-4 3 1 0 0 3 5 3.0 -5.3
2026-02-23 vs Louisville Cardinals W 77-74 29 5-10 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 12 6.0 +12.0
2026-02-21 @ Syracuse Orange W 77-64 31 5-10 0-2 3-7 6 2 0 0 0 13 11.0 +3.1
2026-02-17 @ NC State Wolfpack L 58-82 27 3-8 2-5 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 9 1.0 -10.2
2026-02-14 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 79-65 34 6-15 3-7 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 15 5.0 +19.7
2026-02-10 @ Miami Hurricanes L 66-75 11 2-5 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 1.0 -8.2
2026-02-07 vs Duke Blue Devils W 71-68 13 1-7 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 -3.0 +4.8
2026-02-02 vs Syracuse Orange W 87-77 23 4-6 1-1 1-1 1 2 0 0 2 10 5.0 -1.8
2026-01-31 @ Georgia Tech Yellow W 91-75 26 6-10 3-7 1-1 1 3 1 0 0 16 11.0 +11.3
2026-01-24 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 85-80 28 4-7 3-5 3-5 1 1 0 0 0 14 9.0 -
2026-01-21 vs Notre Dame Fighting W 91-69 24 2-9 1-6 4-4 4 3 0 0 1 9 6.0 +8.8
2026-01-17 @ California Golden Be L 78-84 20 3-5 1-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 7 10.0 -6.4
2026-01-14 @ Stanford Cardinal L 90-95 19 4-9 1-4 4-4 2 1 0 0 0 13 7.0 -6.7
2026-01-10 vs Wake Forest Demon De W 87-84 9 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 -4.0 -0.8
2026-01-03 @ SMU Mustangs L 83-97 29 2-4 2-4 2-2 4 6 1 0 1 8 14.0 -7.7
2025-12-30 vs Florida State Semino W 79-66 13 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -5.0 -8.3
2025-12-22 vs East Carolina Pirate W 99-51 24 5-9 1-3 4-5 4 2 0 0 1 15 11.0 +18.7
2025-12-20 @ Ohio State Buckeyes W 71-70 13 0-3 0-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 2 3.0 +1.4
2025-12-16 vs East Tennessee State W 77-58 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3.0 +1.5
2025-12-13 vs South Carolina Upsta W 80-62 32 6-11 3-6 0-0 5 5 0 0 2 15 12.0 +12.1
2025-12-07 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 81-61 31 5-10 1-5 3-4 4 1 1 0 2 14 8.0 +6.8
2025-12-02 @ Kentucky Wildcats W 67-64 29 4-11 3-6 1-4 4 2 0 0 4 12 3.0 -5.9
2025-11-27 vs Michigan State Spart L 58-74 35 4-12 1-6 2-3 1 5 0 0 0 11 5.0 -
2025-11-25 vs St. Bonaventure Bonn W 85-70 30 3-9 2-5 2-2 0 4 1 0 1 10 5.0 -
2025-11-18 vs Navy Midshipmen W 73-61 33 4-10 3-6 5-7 6 2 0 0 1 16 13.0 -0.4
2025-11-14 vs North Carolina Centr W 97-53 25 4-7 2-5 3-3 2 2 0 0 2 13 8.0 -
2025-11-11 vs Radford Highlanders W 89-74 31 7-18 3-11 2-4 3 5 2 0 0 19 11.0 +12.8
2025-11-07 vs Kansas Jayhawks W 87-74 19 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 3.0 -1.3
2025-11-03 vs Central Arkansas Bea W 94-54 20 3-9 1-5 3-4 3 5 2 0 1 10 10.0 -1.5