A.J. Patterson
Team: Air Force
Career Averages
ESPN · NCAAM · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 29 regular season, 10 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
| GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 12.0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 40.3% | 11.1% | 62.5% |
Plus/minus sample — 2025-2026: 22 games, 309.4 minutes, 1083.7 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.
Advanced Stats
Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 22 games.
| RAPM | Rank | Minutes | Possessions | Model PM | Model PM/G | Model PM/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.22 | 2839 | 309 | 1083 | -167 | -7.6 | -21.6 |
RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)
Model Outputs — 2025-2026
CatalogOutput is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. More → | -1.22 (#2839) | SE 2.83 | Poss 1084 |
| RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. More → | -1.22 (#2839) | Off -1.19 | Def -0.03 |
| Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. More → | -15.41 (#4187) | PM/G -7.6 | PM/40 -21.6 |
| Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. More → | 17.204 (#299) | Vec (+1.37, -3.04) | Norm 3.33 |
| Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. More → | -8.00 (#4330) | Pts For -8.00 | Prevent -6.74 | Net -14.74 | Min 415 |
| Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. More → | -6.74 (#4273) | Pts For -8.00 | Prevent -6.74 | Net -14.74 | Min 415 |
| Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. More → | -14.74 (#4398) | Pts For -8.00 | Prevent -6.74 | Net -14.74 | Min 415 |
| Offensive Rebounding Offensive Rebounding Online player rating for the team's offensive rebound rate (OREB%) on offense. More → | -6.92 (#4466) | OReb% -6.92 | DReb% -0.23 | Min 415 |
| Defensive Rebounding Defensive Rebounding Online player rating for the team's defensive rebound rate (DREB%) on defense. More → | -0.23 (#3055) | OReb% -6.92 | DReb% -0.23 | Min 415 |
| Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. More → | -0.69 (#3108) | Ast For -0.69 | Prevent -1.96 | Net -2.66 | Min 415 |
| Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. More → | -1.96 (#4032) | Ast For -0.69 | Prevent -1.96 | Net -2.66 | Min 415 |
| Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. More → | -2.66 (#3949) | Ast For -0.69 | Prevent -1.96 | Net -2.66 | Min 415 |
| Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. More → | -1.03 (#3612) | 3PM For -1.03 | Prevent -1.15 | Net -2.18 | Min 415 |
| Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. More → | -1.15 (#3963) | 3PM For -1.03 | Prevent -1.15 | Net -2.18 | Min 415 |
| Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. More → | -2.18 (#4112) | 3PM For -1.03 | Prevent -1.15 | Net -2.18 | Min 415 |
| Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. More → | -1.73 (#4011) | Stocks For -1.73 | Prevent -1.36 | Net -3.09 | Min 415 |
| Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. More → | -1.36 (#4066) | Stocks For -1.73 | Prevent -1.36 | Net -3.09 | Min 415 |
| Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. More → | -3.09 (#4309) | Stocks For -1.73 | Prevent -1.36 | Net -3.09 | Min 415 |
| Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. More → | -1.25 (#4011) | TOV For -1.25 | Prevent -0.86 | Net -2.11 | Min 415 |
| Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. More → | -0.86 (#3408) | TOV For -1.25 | Prevent -0.86 | Net -2.11 | Min 415 |
| Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. More → | -2.11 (#4061) | TOV For -1.25 | Prevent -0.86 | Net -2.11 | Min 415 |
Shot Chart — 2025-2026
23/55 FG (41.8%), 47 points from the field · ESPN shot locations · compared with the 2025-2026 league average
| Zone | FGM | FGA | FG% | League FG% | +/- | % of FGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 13 | 28 | 46.4 | 64.5 | -18.1 | 50.9 |
| Paint (non-RA) | 9 | 20 | 45.0 | 45.2 | -0.2 | 36.4 |
| Mid-range left | 0 | 0 | - | 36.6 | - | 0.0 |
| Mid-range center | 0 | 0 | - | 38.6 | - | 0.0 |
| Mid-range right | 0 | 0 | - | 37.4 | - | 0.0 |
| Left corner 3 | 0 | 0 | - | 36.5 | - | 0.0 |
| Right corner 3 | 0 | 0 | - | 36.9 | - | 0.0 |
| Above-break 3 left | 1 | 4 | 25.0 | 34.1 | -9.1 | 7.3 |
| Above-break 3 center | 0 | 0 | - | 32.8 | - | 0.0 |
| Above-break 3 right | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 33.6 | -33.6 | 5.5 |
Career Stats
ESPN · NCAAM · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 29 regular season, 10 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.
| Season | League | Team | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-2026 | NCAAM | Air Force | 29 | 14.3 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 41.8% | 14.3% | 60.7% | 47.5 | 42.7 |
| 2024-2025 | NCAAM | Air Force | 10 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 28.6% | 0.0% | 75.0% | 40.0 | 28.6 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Game Log — 2025-2026
ESPN · NCAAM · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 29 regular season, 10 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
The latest season's 29 of 39 career games; each season's games are under its link above.
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | @ | Nevada Wolf Pack | L | 45-80 | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | - |
| 2026-03-07 | @ | Nevada Wolf Pack | L | 59-74 | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5.0 | - |
| 2026-03-03 | vs | Grand Canyon Lopes | L | 60-86 | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | +5.5 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | Wyoming Cowboys | L | 62-66 | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1.0 | -4.2 |
| 2026-02-24 | vs | San José State Spart | L | 80-86 | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.0 | +15.3 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | UNLV Rebels | L | 66-91 | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.0 | -7.9 |
| 2026-02-17 | @ | New Mexico Lobos | L | 61-98 | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.0 | -10.1 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Fresno State Bulldog | L | 63-93 | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1.0 | -4.1 |
| 2026-02-10 | vs | Colorado State Rams | L | 74-91 | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.4 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | San Diego State Azte | L | 54-88 | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | -9.1 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Grand Canyon Lopes | L | 57-81 | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6.0 | -3.9 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Fresno State Bulldog | L | 62-79 | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6.0 | +4.3 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Boise State Broncos | L | 54-96 | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.0 | -14.1 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Colorado State Rams | L | 52-81 | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1.0 | -5.8 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Nevada Wolf Pack | L | 66-81 | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | - |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | San José State Spart | L | 62-70 | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3.0 | -5.7 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | New Mexico Lobos | L | 49-91 | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5.0 | -4.2 |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | Utah State Aggies | L | 62-99 | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5.0 | -10.2 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | UNLV Rebels | L | 39-67 | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | -7.5 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Wyoming Cowboys | L | 56-68 | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | -3.7 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | San Diego State Azte | L | 58-81 | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7.0 | -4.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | Navy Midshipmen | L | 56-61 | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -6.3 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Pacific Tigers | L | 65-80 | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.0 | - |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | South Dakota Coyotes | L | 63-80 | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5.0 | - |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Northern Colorado Be | L | 53-71 | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6.0 | +1.6 |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | IU Indianapolis Jagu | W | 98-85 | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6.0 | +8.0 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | SIU Edwardsville Cou | W | 77-63 | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.0 | - |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Alabama State Hornet | W | 66-64 | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | - |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Austin Peay Governor | L | 54-74 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | - |