Cayden Ward
Team: Cal Poly Mustangs
Career Averages
ESPN Β· NCAAM Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games.
| GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 24.1 | 11.6 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 8.7 | 8.1 | 44.3% | 32.1% | 75.5% |
Plus/minus sample β 2025-2026: 23 games, 506.7 minutes, 2203.4 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.
Advanced Stats
Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 23 games.
| RAPM | Rank | Minutes | Possessions | Model PM | Model PM/G | Model PM/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.08 | 6340 | 506 | 1950 | -112 | -4.9 | -8.8 |
RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)
Model Outputs β 2025-2026
CatalogOutput is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. More β | -1.08 (#6340) | SE 1.22 | Poss 1950 |
| RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. More β | -1.08 (#6340) | Off -0.65 | Def -0.43 |
| Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. More β | -5.08 (#5818) | PM/G -4.9 | PM/40 -8.8 |
| Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. More β | -0.23 (#3905) | Pts For -0.23 | Prevent -0.73 | Net -0.96 | Min 932 |
| Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. More β | -0.73 (#5183) | Pts For -0.23 | Prevent -0.73 | Net -0.96 | Min 932 |
| Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. More β | -0.96 (#5316) | Pts For -0.23 | Prevent -0.73 | Net -0.96 | Min 932 |
| Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. More β | -0.50 (#5638) | Reb For -0.50 | Prevent +0.71 | Net +0.21 | Min 932 |
| Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. More β | +0.71 (#444) | Reb For -0.50 | Prevent +0.71 | Net +0.21 | Min 932 |
| Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. More β | -0.30 (#4359) | OReb For -0.30 | Prevent +0.09 | Net -0.21 | Min 932 |
| Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. More β | +0.09 (#2774) | OReb For -0.30 | Prevent +0.09 | Net -0.21 | Min 932 |
| Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. More β | -0.21 (#5274) | OReb For -0.30 | Prevent +0.09 | Net -0.21 | Min 932 |
| Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. More β | -0.22 (#3630) | DReb For -0.22 | Prevent +0.43 | Net +0.21 | Min 932 |
| Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. More β | +0.43 (#2305) | DReb For -0.22 | Prevent +0.43 | Net +0.21 | Min 932 |
| Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. More β | +0.21 (#1385) | DReb For -0.22 | Prevent +0.43 | Net +0.21 | Min 932 |
| Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. More β | +0.21 (#2632) | Reb For -0.50 | Prevent +0.71 | Net +0.21 | Min 932 |
| Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. More β | -0.67 (#6170) | Ast For -0.67 | Prevent -0.20 | Net -0.88 | Min 932 |
| Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. More β | -0.20 (#5151) | Ast For -0.67 | Prevent -0.20 | Net -0.88 | Min 932 |
| Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. More β | -0.88 (#6105) | Ast For -0.67 | Prevent -0.20 | Net -0.88 | Min 932 |
| Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. More β | +0.91 (#117) | 3PM For +0.91 | Prevent -0.32 | Net +0.59 | Min 932 |
| Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. More β | -0.32 (#5894) | 3PM For +0.91 | Prevent -0.32 | Net +0.59 | Min 932 |
| Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. More β | +0.59 (#373) | 3PM For +0.91 | Prevent -0.32 | Net +0.59 | Min 932 |
| Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. More β | -0.88 (#6336) | Stocks For -0.88 | Prevent +0.21 | Net -0.67 | Min 932 |
| Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. More β | +0.21 (#1015) | Stocks For -0.88 | Prevent +0.21 | Net -0.67 | Min 932 |
| Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. More β | -0.67 (#6109) | Stocks For -0.88 | Prevent +0.21 | Net -0.67 | Min 932 |
| Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. More β | -0.83 (#6342) | TOV For -0.83 | Prevent -0.10 | Net -0.93 | Min 932 |
| Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. More β | -0.10 (#4409) | TOV For -0.83 | Prevent -0.10 | Net -0.93 | Min 932 |
| Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. More β | -0.93 (#6281) | TOV For -0.83 | Prevent -0.10 | Net -0.93 | Min 932 |
Shot Chart β 2025-2026
157/343 FG (45.8%), 367 points from the field Β· ESPN shot locations Β· compared with the 2025-2026 league average
| Zone | FGM | FGA | FG% | League FG% | +/- | % of FGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 62 | 84 | 73.8 | 64.5 | +9.3 | 24.5 |
| Paint (non-RA) | 42 | 86 | 48.8 | 45.2 | +3.6 | 25.1 |
| Mid-range left | 0 | 0 | - | 36.6 | - | 0.0 |
| Mid-range center | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 38.6 | -38.6 | 0.3 |
| Mid-range right | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 37.4 | -37.4 | 0.3 |
| Left corner 3 | 6 | 22 | 27.3 | 36.5 | -9.2 | 6.4 |
| Right corner 3 | 4 | 18 | 22.2 | 36.9 | -14.7 | 5.2 |
| Above-break 3 left | 12 | 42 | 28.6 | 34.1 | -5.5 | 12.2 |
| Above-break 3 center | 20 | 46 | 43.5 | 32.8 | +10.7 | 13.4 |
| Above-break 3 right | 11 | 43 | 25.6 | 33.6 | -8.0 | 12.5 |
Career Stats
ESPN Β· NCAAM Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.
| Season | League | Team | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-2026 | NCAAM | Cal Poly Mustangs | 33 | 29.4 | 14.5 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 10.4 | 10.2 | 45.8% | 31.0% | 75.3% | 58.7 | 53.5 |
| 2024-2025 | NCAAM | Cal Poly Mustangs | 23 | 16.4 | 7.4 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6.2 | 5.0 | 40.8% | 34.8% | 76.2% | 53.3 | 48.9 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Game Log
ESPN Β· NCAAM Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games.
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | @ | UC San Diego Tritons | L | 69-72 | 31 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15.0 | - |
| 2026-03-07 | vs | Cal State Bakersfiel | W | 108-76 | 27 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 19.0 | - |
| 2026-03-05 | @ | UC Irvine Anteaters | L | 85-107 | 30 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10.0 | - |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | UC San Diego Tritons | L | 64-80 | 32 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9.0 | - |
| 2026-02-26 | vs | Long Beach State Bea | W | 102-92 | 30 | 11-18 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 22.0 | - |
| 2026-02-19 | @ | Hawai'i Rainbow Warr | W | 86-75 | 32 | 8-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 12.0 | - |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | UC Santa Barbara Gau | W | 89-79 | 33 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | - |
| 2026-02-12 | vs | UC Irvine Anteaters | W | 79-73 | 27 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 6-11 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 17.0 | - |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | UC Davis Aggies | L | 58-67 | 25 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3.0 | - |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Cal State Northridge | L | 96-97 | 32 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12.0 | - |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | UC Riverside Highlan | W | 94-87 | 27 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4.0 | +9.6 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Cal State Bakersfiel | W | 104-79 | 28 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8.0 | - |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Cal State Fullerton | L | 78-93 | 33 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11.0 | -10.7 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | UC Santa Barbara Gau | L | 67-107 | 25 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1.0 | -29.4 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Hawai'i Rainbow Warr | L | 66-86 | 34 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6.0 | -9.1 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | UC Davis Aggies | W | 84-78 | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13.0 | +12.9 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Cal State Northridge | L | 90-95 | 36 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 17.0 | -13.3 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Long Beach State Bea | L | 66-74 | 30 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 7.0 | -15.0 |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | UC San Diego Tritons | W | 67-65 | 33 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8.0 | -3.1 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Idaho Vandals | L | 80-83 | 42 | 7-12 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 16.0 | +2.1 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | UCLA Bruins | L | 87-108 | 33 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 9-9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18.0 | -16.5 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Montana State Bobcat | L | 80-83 | 31 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 18.0 | -1.8 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | UC Riverside Highlan | L | 84-88 | 34 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5.0 | -1.4 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Cal State Fullerton | W | 94-91 | 29 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4.0 | -10.8 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Redlands Bulldogs | W | 87-81 | 19 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6.0 | -1.6 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Southeast Missouri S | L | 68-84 | 25 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9.0 | -1.9 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Northern Arizona Lum | L | 87-93 | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5.0 | -9.0 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Utah Utes | W | 92-85 | 33 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 7-11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 17.0 | +1.0 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Montana Grizzlies | L | 82-90 | 25 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5.0 | -1.8 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Colorado State Rams | L | 79-93 | 28 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 5.0 | -11.0 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Seattle U Redhawks | W | 73-71 | 31 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0.0 | +4.8 |
| 2025-11-05 | vs | Pacific Lutheran Lut | W | 101-79 | 29 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 8-10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 22.0 | +10.4 |
| 2025-11-03 | @ | USC Trojans | L | 64-94 | 19 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1.0 | - |
| 2025-03-14 | @ | UC Irvine Anteaters | L | 78-96 | 25 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5.0 | -8.1 |
| 2025-03-13 | @ | UC Riverside Highlan | W | 96-83 | 28 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17.0 | +11.2 |
| 2025-03-12 | @ | UC Davis Aggies | W | 86-76 | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3.0 | -7.2 |
| 2025-03-08 | @ | Long Beach State Bea | W | 83-69 | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2.0 | -1.4 |
| 2025-03-06 | vs | Cal State Fullerton | W | 100-61 | 15 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3.0 | +8.8 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Cal State Bakersfiel | W | 98-72 | 18 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11.0 | - |
| 2025-02-27 | @ | UC Santa Barbara Gau | L | 77-96 | 27 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.0 | -7.2 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | UC Riverside Highlan | W | 112-100 | 32 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12.0 | +12.4 |
| 2025-02-20 | vs | UC San Diego Tritons | L | 67-81 | 30 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13.0 | +1.3 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Cal State Northridge | L | 85-89 | 17 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 7.0 | -5.0 |
| 2025-02-13 | @ | Cal State Fullerton | W | 98-83 | 15 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 18.0 | +6.2 |
| 2025-02-06 | vs | Hawai'i Rainbow Warr | W | 79-63 | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2.0 | -0.0 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | UC Riverside Highlan | L | 62-80 | 13 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3.0 | +0.9 |
| 2025-01-30 | @ | Cal State Bakersfiel | W | 90-81 | 16 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1.0 | - |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Long Beach State Bea | W | 78-69 | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2.0 | +4.8 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | UC Irvine Anteaters | L | 71-101 | 15 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14.0 | -0.8 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | UC Davis Aggies | L | 54-65 | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4.0 | +4.2 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | UC Santa Barbara Gau | L | 72-75 | 9 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1.0 | -7.3 |
| 2025-01-09 | @ | UC San Diego Tritons | L | 68-95 | 9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -7.9 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Hawai'i Rainbow Warr | L | 55-68 | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3.0 | - |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | UC Irvine Anteaters | L | 89-98 | 12 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8.0 | +4.9 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Omaha Mavericks | L | 82-86 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -5.1 |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | UC Davis Aggies | L | 66-77 | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1.0 | -11.7 |