Cayden Ward
Team: Cal Poly Mustangs
Season Averages — 2025-2026
ESPN · NCAAM · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games.
| GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 29.4 | 14.5 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 10.4 | 10.2 | 45.8% | 31.0% | 75.3% |
Plus/minus sample — 2025-2026: 23 games, 506.7 minutes, 2203.4 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.
Advanced Stats
Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 23 games.
| RAPM | Rank | Minutes | Possessions | Model PM | Model PM/G | Model PM/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.08 | 6340 | 506 | 1950 | -112 | -4.9 | -8.8 |
RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)
Model Outputs — 2025-2026
CatalogOutput is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. More → | -1.08 (#6340) | SE 1.22 | Poss 1950 |
| RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. More → | -1.08 (#6340) | Off -0.65 | Def -0.43 |
| Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. More → | -5.08 (#5818) | PM/G -4.9 | PM/40 -8.8 |
| Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. More → | -0.23 (#3905) | Pts For -0.23 | Prevent -0.73 | Net -0.96 | Min 932 |
| Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. More → | -0.73 (#5183) | Pts For -0.23 | Prevent -0.73 | Net -0.96 | Min 932 |
| Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. More → | -0.96 (#5316) | Pts For -0.23 | Prevent -0.73 | Net -0.96 | Min 932 |
| Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. More → | -0.50 (#5638) | Reb For -0.50 | Prevent +0.71 | Net +0.21 | Min 932 |
| Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. More → | +0.71 (#444) | Reb For -0.50 | Prevent +0.71 | Net +0.21 | Min 932 |
| Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. More → | -0.30 (#4359) | OReb For -0.30 | Prevent +0.09 | Net -0.21 | Min 932 |
| Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. More → | +0.09 (#2774) | OReb For -0.30 | Prevent +0.09 | Net -0.21 | Min 932 |
| Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. More → | -0.21 (#5274) | OReb For -0.30 | Prevent +0.09 | Net -0.21 | Min 932 |
| Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. More → | -0.22 (#3630) | DReb For -0.22 | Prevent +0.43 | Net +0.21 | Min 932 |
| Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. More → | +0.43 (#2305) | DReb For -0.22 | Prevent +0.43 | Net +0.21 | Min 932 |
| Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. More → | +0.21 (#1385) | DReb For -0.22 | Prevent +0.43 | Net +0.21 | Min 932 |
| Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. More → | +0.21 (#2632) | Reb For -0.50 | Prevent +0.71 | Net +0.21 | Min 932 |
| Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. More → | -0.67 (#6170) | Ast For -0.67 | Prevent -0.20 | Net -0.88 | Min 932 |
| Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. More → | -0.20 (#5151) | Ast For -0.67 | Prevent -0.20 | Net -0.88 | Min 932 |
| Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. More → | -0.88 (#6105) | Ast For -0.67 | Prevent -0.20 | Net -0.88 | Min 932 |
| Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. More → | +0.91 (#117) | 3PM For +0.91 | Prevent -0.32 | Net +0.59 | Min 932 |
| Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. More → | -0.32 (#5894) | 3PM For +0.91 | Prevent -0.32 | Net +0.59 | Min 932 |
| Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. More → | +0.59 (#373) | 3PM For +0.91 | Prevent -0.32 | Net +0.59 | Min 932 |
| Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. More → | -0.88 (#6336) | Stocks For -0.88 | Prevent +0.21 | Net -0.67 | Min 932 |
| Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. More → | +0.21 (#1015) | Stocks For -0.88 | Prevent +0.21 | Net -0.67 | Min 932 |
| Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. More → | -0.67 (#6109) | Stocks For -0.88 | Prevent +0.21 | Net -0.67 | Min 932 |
| Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. More → | -0.83 (#6342) | TOV For -0.83 | Prevent -0.10 | Net -0.93 | Min 932 |
| Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. More → | -0.10 (#4409) | TOV For -0.83 | Prevent -0.10 | Net -0.93 | Min 932 |
| Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. More → | -0.93 (#6281) | TOV For -0.83 | Prevent -0.10 | Net -0.93 | Min 932 |
Shot Chart — 2025-2026
157/343 FG (45.8%), 367 points from the field · ESPN shot locations · compared with the 2025-2026 league average
| Zone | FGM | FGA | FG% | League FG% | +/- | % of FGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 62 | 84 | 73.8 | 64.5 | +9.3 | 24.5 |
| Paint (non-RA) | 42 | 86 | 48.8 | 45.2 | +3.6 | 25.1 |
| Mid-range left | 0 | 0 | - | 36.6 | - | 0.0 |
| Mid-range center | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 38.6 | -38.6 | 0.3 |
| Mid-range right | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 37.4 | -37.4 | 0.3 |
| Left corner 3 | 6 | 22 | 27.3 | 36.5 | -9.2 | 6.4 |
| Right corner 3 | 4 | 18 | 22.2 | 36.9 | -14.7 | 5.2 |
| Above-break 3 left | 12 | 42 | 28.6 | 34.1 | -5.5 | 12.2 |
| Above-break 3 center | 20 | 46 | 43.5 | 32.8 | +10.7 | 13.4 |
| Above-break 3 right | 11 | 43 | 25.6 | 33.6 | -8.0 | 12.5 |
Career Stats
ESPN · NCAAM · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.
| Season | League | Team | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-2026 | NCAAM | Cal Poly Mustangs | 33 | 29.4 | 14.5 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 10.4 | 10.2 | 45.8% | 31.0% | 75.3% | 58.7 | 53.5 |
| 2024-2025 | NCAAM | Cal Poly Mustangs | 23 | 16.4 | 7.4 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6.2 | 5.0 | 40.8% | 34.8% | 76.2% | 53.3 | 48.9 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Game Log
ESPN · NCAAM · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games.
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | @ | UC San Diego Tritons | L | 69-72 | 31 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15.0 | - |
| 2026-03-07 | vs | Cal State Bakersfiel | W | 108-76 | 27 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 19.0 | - |
| 2026-03-05 | @ | UC Irvine Anteaters | L | 85-107 | 30 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10.0 | - |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | UC San Diego Tritons | L | 64-80 | 32 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9.0 | - |
| 2026-02-26 | vs | Long Beach State Bea | W | 102-92 | 30 | 11-18 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 22.0 | - |
| 2026-02-19 | @ | Hawai'i Rainbow Warr | W | 86-75 | 32 | 8-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 12.0 | - |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | UC Santa Barbara Gau | W | 89-79 | 33 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | - |
| 2026-02-12 | vs | UC Irvine Anteaters | W | 79-73 | 27 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 6-11 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 17.0 | - |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | UC Davis Aggies | L | 58-67 | 25 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3.0 | - |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Cal State Northridge | L | 96-97 | 32 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12.0 | - |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | UC Riverside Highlan | W | 94-87 | 27 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4.0 | +9.6 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Cal State Bakersfiel | W | 104-79 | 28 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8.0 | - |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Cal State Fullerton | L | 78-93 | 33 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11.0 | -10.7 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | UC Santa Barbara Gau | L | 67-107 | 25 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1.0 | -29.4 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Hawai'i Rainbow Warr | L | 66-86 | 34 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6.0 | -9.1 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | UC Davis Aggies | W | 84-78 | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13.0 | +12.9 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Cal State Northridge | L | 90-95 | 36 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 17.0 | -13.3 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Long Beach State Bea | L | 66-74 | 30 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 7.0 | -15.0 |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | UC San Diego Tritons | W | 67-65 | 33 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8.0 | -3.1 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Idaho Vandals | L | 80-83 | 42 | 7-12 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 16.0 | +2.1 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | UCLA Bruins | L | 87-108 | 33 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 9-9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18.0 | -16.5 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Montana State Bobcat | L | 80-83 | 31 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 18.0 | -1.8 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | UC Riverside Highlan | L | 84-88 | 34 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5.0 | -1.4 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Cal State Fullerton | W | 94-91 | 29 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4.0 | -10.8 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Redlands Bulldogs | W | 87-81 | 19 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6.0 | -1.6 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Southeast Missouri S | L | 68-84 | 25 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9.0 | -1.9 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Northern Arizona Lum | L | 87-93 | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5.0 | -9.0 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Utah Utes | W | 92-85 | 33 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 7-11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 17.0 | +1.0 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Montana Grizzlies | L | 82-90 | 25 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5.0 | -1.8 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Colorado State Rams | L | 79-93 | 28 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 5.0 | -11.0 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Seattle U Redhawks | W | 73-71 | 31 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0.0 | +4.8 |
| 2025-11-05 | vs | Pacific Lutheran Lut | W | 101-79 | 29 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 8-10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 22.0 | +10.4 |
| 2025-11-03 | @ | USC Trojans | L | 64-94 | 19 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1.0 | - |