Grace Nelson
Team: Illinois St.
Position: G
Career Averages
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 38 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
| GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 17.7 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 37.3% | 37.3% | 90.5% |
Plus/minus sample — 2025-2026: 35 games, 593.8 minutes, 1992.7 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.
Advanced Stats
Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 35 games.
| RAPM | Rank | Minutes | Possessions | Model PM | Model PM/G | Model PM/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1.15 | 991 | 593 | 1992 | +75 | +2.1 | +5.1 |
RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)
Model Outputs — 2025-2026
CatalogOutput is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. More → | +1.15 (#991) | SE 2.42 | Poss 1993 |
| RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. More → | +1.15 (#991) | Off -0.22 | Def +1.37 |
| Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. More → | +3.76 (#952) | PM/G +2.1 | PM/40 +5.1 |
| Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. More → | -2.615 (#3237) | Vec (-3.08, +0.08) | Norm 3.09 |
| Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. More → | +1.61 (#603) | Pts For +1.61 | Prevent -0.65 | Net +0.96 | Min 660 |
| Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. More → | -0.65 (#3360) | Pts For +1.61 | Prevent -0.65 | Net +0.96 | Min 660 |
| Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. More → | +0.96 (#1413) | Pts For +1.61 | Prevent -0.65 | Net +0.96 | Min 660 |
| Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. More → | -0.43 (#3418) | Reb For -0.43 | Prevent +0.46 | Net +0.03 | Min 660 |
| Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. More → | +0.46 (#938) | Reb For -0.43 | Prevent +0.46 | Net +0.03 | Min 660 |
| Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. More → | -0.63 (#3892) | OReb For -0.63 | Prevent +0.44 | Net -0.19 | Min 660 |
| Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. More → | +0.44 (#553) | OReb For -0.63 | Prevent +0.44 | Net -0.19 | Min 660 |
| Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. More → | -0.19 (#2995) | OReb For -0.63 | Prevent +0.44 | Net -0.19 | Min 660 |
| Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. More → | +0.19 (#1352) | DReb For +0.19 | Prevent +0.03 | Net +0.22 | Min 660 |
| Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. More → | +0.03 (#2028) | DReb For +0.19 | Prevent +0.03 | Net +0.22 | Min 660 |
| Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. More → | +0.22 (#1573) | DReb For +0.19 | Prevent +0.03 | Net +0.22 | Min 660 |
| Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo superseded Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. More → | +0.03 (#2263) | Reb For -0.43 | Prevent +0.46 | Net +0.03 | Min 660 |
| Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. More → | +0.76 (#416) | Ast For +0.76 | Prevent +0.09 | Net +0.85 | Min 660 |
| Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. More → | +0.09 (#1861) | Ast For +0.76 | Prevent +0.09 | Net +0.85 | Min 660 |
| Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. More → | +0.85 (#572) | Ast For +0.76 | Prevent +0.09 | Net +0.85 | Min 660 |
| Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. More → | -0.06 (#2539) | 3PM For -0.06 | Prevent +0.05 | Net -0.01 | Min 660 |
| Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. More → | +0.05 (#1731) | 3PM For -0.06 | Prevent +0.05 | Net -0.01 | Min 660 |
| Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. More → | -0.01 (#2198) | 3PM For -0.06 | Prevent +0.05 | Net -0.01 | Min 660 |
| Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. More → | -0.46 (#3649) | Stocks For -0.46 | Prevent -0.22 | Net -0.68 | Min 660 |
| Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. More → | -0.22 (#3423) | Stocks For -0.46 | Prevent -0.22 | Net -0.68 | Min 660 |
| Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. More → | -0.68 (#3813) | Stocks For -0.46 | Prevent -0.22 | Net -0.68 | Min 660 |
| Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. More → | +0.48 (#695) | TOV For +0.48 | Prevent -0.74 | Net -0.26 | Min 660 |
| Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. More → | -0.74 (#3899) | TOV For +0.48 | Prevent -0.74 | Net -0.26 | Min 660 |
| Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. More → | -0.26 (#2980) | TOV For +0.48 | Prevent -0.74 | Net -0.26 | Min 660 |
Shot Chart — 2025-2026
63/169 FG (37.3%), 170 points from the field · ESPN shot locations · compared with the 2025-2026 league average
| Zone | FGM | FGA | FG% | League FG% | +/- | % of FGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 10 | 20 | 50.0 | 58.6 | -8.6 | 11.8 |
| Paint (non-RA) | 6 | 17 | 35.3 | 40.9 | -5.6 | 10.1 |
| Mid-range left | 1 | 4 | 25.0 | 32.4 | -7.4 | 2.4 |
| Mid-range center | 1 | 7 | 14.3 | 35.8 | -21.5 | 4.1 |
| Mid-range right | 1 | 4 | 25.0 | 31.8 | -6.8 | 2.4 |
| Left corner 3 | 6 | 9 | 66.7 | 33.0 | +33.7 | 5.3 |
| Right corner 3 | 7 | 9 | 77.8 | 32.6 | +45.2 | 5.3 |
| Above-break 3 left | 17 | 50 | 34.0 | 30.7 | +3.3 | 29.6 |
| Above-break 3 center | 3 | 10 | 30.0 | 30.4 | -0.4 | 5.9 |
| Above-break 3 right | 11 | 39 | 28.2 | 30.9 | -2.7 | 23.1 |
Career Stats
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 38 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.
| Season | League | Team | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-2026 | NCAAW | Illinois State Redbirds | 38 | 17.7 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 37.3% | 37.3% | 90.5% | 55.5 | 50.3 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Game Log
ESPN · NCAAW · completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 38 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | @ | Marshall Thundering | L | 41-66 | 23 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1.0 | - |
| 2026-04-01 | @ | South Dakota Coyotes | W | 67-60 | 30 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | - |
| 2026-03-30 | vs | George Washington Re | W | 61-53 | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.0 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | vs | Abilene Christian Wi | W | 59-55 | 14 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2.0 | - |
| 2026-03-22 | vs | UT Rio Grande Valley | W | 81-52 | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | - |
| 2026-03-14 | vs | Evansville Purple Ac | L | 70-75 | 33 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2.0 | - |
| 2026-03-13 | vs | Drake Bulldogs | W | 69-62 | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3.0 | - |
| 2026-03-08 | @ | Bradley Braves | W | 66-65 | 33 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8.0 | - |
| 2026-03-05 | @ | Drake Bulldogs | L | 55-73 | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6.0 | - |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | Valparaiso Beacons | W | 83-42 | 17 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7.0 | - |
| 2026-02-26 | vs | Southern Illinois Sa | W | 78-60 | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8.0 | - |
| 2026-02-22 | vs | Murray State Racers | L | 62-73 | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5.0 | - |
| 2026-02-20 | vs | Belmont Bruins | W | 83-78 | 33 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10.0 | - |
| 2026-02-15 | @ | Evansville Purple Ac | W | 88-75 | 27 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17.0 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | @ | Southern Illinois Sa | L | 60-84 | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1.0 | - |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Drake Bulldogs | W | 77-70 | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | - |
| 2026-02-01 | vs | Bradley Braves | W | 58-54 | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2.0 | - |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Northern Iowa Panthe | W | 59-55 | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | - |
| 2026-01-25 | @ | Indiana State Sycamo | W | 85-69 | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7.0 | - |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | UIC Flames | L | 64-76 | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6.0 | - |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Valparaiso Beacons | W | 93-74 | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6.0 | - |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Evansville Purple Ac | W | 82-71 | 24 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5.0 | - |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | UIC Flames | W | 75-61 | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2.0 | - |
| 2026-01-04 | @ | Belmont Bruins | L | 68-75 | 28 | 7-11 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11.0 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Murray State Racers | L | 93-101 | 29 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8.0 | - |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Indiana State Sycamo | W | 105-64 | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7.0 | - |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Oakland Golden Grizz | W | 89-66 | 16 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7.0 | - |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Nebraska Cornhuskers | L | 44-85 | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | - |
| 2025-12-07 | vs | Eastern Illinois Pan | W | 64-46 | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.0 | - |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Northern Iowa Panthe | L | 54-68 | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.0 | - |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Wake Forest Demon De | L | 44-57 | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3.0 | - |
| 2025-11-27 | vs | East Carolina Pirate | L | 66-73 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.0 | - |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Rice Owls | L | 72-75 | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Saint Louis Billiken | W | 81-75 | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Loyola Chicago Rambl | W | 59-44 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Chicago State Cougar | W | 101-52 | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5.0 | - |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Illinois Fighting Il | L | 65-75 | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.0 | - |
| 2025-11-03 | vs | Dayton Flyers | W | 87-76 | 7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.0 | - |