Ariel Little
Team: St. John's Red Storm
Position: G
Season Averages β 2025-2026
ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 22 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
| GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 8.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 26.9% | 20.5% | 25.0% |
Plus/minus sample β 2025-2026: 20 games, 176.1 minutes, 542.6 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.
Advanced Stats
Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 20 games.
| RAPM | Rank | Minutes | Possessions | Model PM | Model PM/G | Model PM/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.93 | 2238 | 176 | 542 | -20 | -1.0 | -4.5 |
RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)
Model Outputs β 2025-2026
CatalogOutput is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. More β | -0.93 (#2238) | SE 3.23 | Poss 543 |
| RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. More β | -0.93 (#2238) | Off -0.64 | Def -0.30 |
| Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. More β | -3.69 (#2651) | PM/G -1.0 | PM/40 -4.5 |
| Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. More β | 3.296 (#2018) | Vec (-4.71, +2.74) | Norm 5.45 |
| Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. More β | -0.46 (#2849) | Pts For -0.46 | Prevent -0.36 | Net -0.82 | Min 162 |
| Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. More β | -0.36 (#3013) | Pts For -0.46 | Prevent -0.36 | Net -0.82 | Min 162 |
| Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. More β | -0.82 (#2965) | Pts For -0.46 | Prevent -0.36 | Net -0.82 | Min 162 |
| Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. More β | -0.30 (#3199) | Reb For -0.30 | Prevent +0.11 | Net -0.19 | Min 162 |
| Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. More β | +0.11 (#1885) | Reb For -0.30 | Prevent +0.11 | Net -0.19 | Min 162 |
| Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. More β | -0.22 (#3207) | OReb For -0.22 | Prevent -0.01 | Net -0.23 | Min 162 |
| Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. More β | -0.01 (#2555) | OReb For -0.22 | Prevent -0.01 | Net -0.23 | Min 162 |
| Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. More β | -0.23 (#3091) | OReb For -0.22 | Prevent -0.01 | Net -0.23 | Min 162 |
| Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. More β | -0.08 (#2614) | DReb For -0.08 | Prevent +0.12 | Net +0.04 | Min 162 |
| Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. More β | +0.12 (#1558) | DReb For -0.08 | Prevent +0.12 | Net +0.04 | Min 162 |
| Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. More β | +0.04 (#2134) | DReb For -0.08 | Prevent +0.12 | Net +0.04 | Min 162 |
| Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo superseded Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. More β | -0.19 (#2695) | Reb For -0.30 | Prevent +0.11 | Net -0.19 | Min 162 |
| Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. More β | +0.07 (#1696) | Ast For +0.07 | Prevent -0.27 | Net -0.20 | Min 162 |
| Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. More β | -0.27 (#3390) | Ast For +0.07 | Prevent -0.27 | Net -0.20 | Min 162 |
| Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. More β | -0.20 (#2778) | Ast For +0.07 | Prevent -0.27 | Net -0.20 | Min 162 |
| Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. More β | -0.06 (#2498) | 3PM For -0.06 | Prevent -0.03 | Net -0.08 | Min 162 |
| Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. More β | -0.03 (#2553) | 3PM For -0.06 | Prevent -0.03 | Net -0.08 | Min 162 |
| Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. More β | -0.08 (#2602) | 3PM For -0.06 | Prevent -0.03 | Net -0.08 | Min 162 |
| Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. More β | +0.06 (#1753) | Stocks For +0.06 | Prevent -0.19 | Net -0.13 | Min 162 |
| Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. More β | -0.19 (#3299) | Stocks For +0.06 | Prevent -0.19 | Net -0.13 | Min 162 |
| Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. More β | -0.13 (#2608) | Stocks For +0.06 | Prevent -0.19 | Net -0.13 | Min 162 |
| Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. More β | -0.30 (#3484) | TOV For -0.30 | Prevent -0.17 | Net -0.47 | Min 162 |
| Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. More β | -0.17 (#2833) | TOV For -0.30 | Prevent -0.17 | Net -0.47 | Min 162 |
| Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. More β | -0.47 (#3396) | TOV For -0.30 | Prevent -0.17 | Net -0.47 | Min 162 |
Shot Chart β 2025-2026
14/52 FG (26.9%), 36 points from the field Β· ESPN shot locations Β· compared with the 2025-2026 league average
| Zone | FGM | FGA | FG% | League FG% | +/- | % of FGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 3 | 4 | 75.0 | 58.6 | +16.4 | 7.7 |
| Paint (non-RA) | 3 | 8 | 37.5 | 40.9 | -3.4 | 15.4 |
| Mid-range left | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 32.4 | -32.4 | 1.9 |
| Mid-range center | 0 | 0 | - | 35.8 | - | 0.0 |
| Mid-range right | 0 | 0 | - | 31.8 | - | 0.0 |
| Left corner 3 | 1 | 3 | 33.3 | 33.0 | +0.3 | 5.8 |
| Right corner 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 32.6 | -32.6 | 5.8 |
| Above-break 3 left | 5 | 21 | 23.8 | 30.7 | -6.9 | 40.4 |
| Above-break 3 center | 2 | 5 | 40.0 | 30.4 | +9.6 | 9.6 |
| Above-break 3 right | 0 | 7 | 0.0 | 30.9 | -30.9 | 13.5 |
Career Stats
ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 22 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.
| Season | League | Team | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | FG% | 3P% | FT% | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-2026 | NCAAW | St. John's Red Storm | 22 | 8.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 26.9% | 20.5% | 25.0% | 34.4 | 34.6 |
| 2024-2025 | NCAAW | St. John's Red Storm | 25 | 7.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 23.1% | 19.4% | 63.6% | 33.4 | 29.8 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Game Log
ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 22 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | @ | Columbia Lions | L | 26-74 | 31 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -3.0 | -29.4 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ | Seton Hall Pirates | L | 61-63 | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5.0 | +5.4 |
| 2026-03-06 | vs | Xavier Musketeers | W | 53-48 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | vs | UConn Huskies | L | 49-85 | 18 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | +1.9 |
| 2026-02-22 | @ | Seton Hall Pirates | W | 59-56 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.0 | +0.3 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Seton Hall Pirates | W | 67-61 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | -1.8 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Xavier Musketeers | W | 71-52 | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.6 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Providence Friars | W | 62-57 | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | +5.9 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Creighton Bluejays | L | 51-81 | 6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.0 | - |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Marquette Golden Eag | L | 55-56 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Xavier Musketeers | W | 66-64 | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4.0 | +7.2 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Georgetown Hoyas | L | 34-59 | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3.0 | -5.9 |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | DePaul Blue Demons | W | 75-58 | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1.0 | - |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Stony Brook Seawolve | W | 73-42 | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5.0 | +12.6 |
| 2025-12-07 | vs | Providence Friars | W | 62-55 | 5 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 | -13.2 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Creighton Bluejays | L | 52-60 | 9 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.0 | - |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Memphis Tigers | W | 84-73 | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +4.2 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Georgia Tech Yellow | W | 77-75 | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5.0 | -0.9 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Central Connecticut | W | 71-46 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Yale Bulldogs | W | 88-60 | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | -0.6 |
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Harvard Crimson | L | 56-61 | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | - |
| 2025-11-03 | vs | Le Moyne Dolphins | W | 68-53 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | - |