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Ariel Little

Ariel Little

Team: St. John's Red Storm
Position: G

Season Averages β€” 2025-2026

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 22 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.

GP MPG PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT%
22 8.8 1.7 0.6 1.2 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.4 0.6 26.9% 20.5% 25.0%

Plus/minus sample β€” 2025-2026: 20 games, 176.1 minutes, 542.6 possessions. Other models may cover a different set of games.

Advanced Stats

Legacy model artifacts; separate from the counting cohort. Model output season: 2025-2026. Plus/minus scope: 20 games.

RAPM Rank Minutes Possessions Model PM Model PM/G Model PM/40
-0.93 2238 176 542 -20 -1.0 -4.5

RAPM = Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus (points per 100 possessions above average)

Model Outputs β€” 2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
RAPM Overall RAPM Overall Single-parameter regularized adjusted plus-minus estimate. SE 3.23 | Poss 543 More β†’ -0.93 (#2238) SE 3.23 | Poss 543
RAPM Off/Def RAPM Off/Def Simultaneous offensive and defensive RAPM decomposition. Off -0.64 | Def -0.30 More β†’ -0.93 (#2238) Off -0.64 | Def -0.30
Plus/Minus Rate Plus/Minus Rate Raw plus/minus rate baseline per 100 possessions. PM/G -1.0 | PM/40 -4.5 More β†’ -3.69 (#2651) PM/G -1.0 | PM/40 -4.5
Player Vector 2D Player Vector 2D Low-dimensional player embedding model with lineup composition and interaction effects. Vec (-4.71, +2.74) | Norm 5.45 More β†’ 3.296 (#2018) Vec (-4.71, +2.74) | Norm 5.45
Points For Elo Points For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team scoring rate. Pts For -0.46 | Prevent -0.36 | Net -0.82 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.46 (#2849) Pts For -0.46 | Prevent -0.36 | Net -0.82 | Min 162
Points Prevention Elo Points Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's scoring rate. Pts For -0.46 | Prevent -0.36 | Net -0.82 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.36 (#3013) Pts For -0.46 | Prevent -0.36 | Net -0.82 | Min 162
Points Net Elo Points Net Elo Net point-differential event Elo from points created plus points prevented. Pts For -0.46 | Prevent -0.36 | Net -0.82 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.82 (#2965) Pts For -0.46 | Prevent -0.36 | Net -0.82 | Min 162
Rebounds For Elo Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to team rebound rate. Reb For -0.30 | Prevent +0.11 | Net -0.19 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.30 (#3199) Reb For -0.30 | Prevent +0.11 | Net -0.19 | Min 162
Rebound Prevention Elo Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's rebound rate. Reb For -0.30 | Prevent +0.11 | Net -0.19 | Min 162 More β†’ +0.11 (#1885) Reb For -0.30 | Prevent +0.11 | Net -0.19 | Min 162
Offensive Rebounds For Elo Offensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team offensive rebounds. OReb For -0.22 | Prevent -0.01 | Net -0.23 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.22 (#3207) OReb For -0.22 | Prevent -0.01 | Net -0.23 | Min 162
Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo Offensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for preventing opponent offensive rebounds. OReb For -0.22 | Prevent -0.01 | Net -0.23 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.01 (#2555) OReb For -0.22 | Prevent -0.01 | Net -0.23 | Min 162
Offensive Rebound Net Elo Offensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net offensive-rebound event Elo from second chances created plus denied. OReb For -0.22 | Prevent -0.01 | Net -0.23 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.23 (#3091) OReb For -0.22 | Prevent -0.01 | Net -0.23 | Min 162
Defensive Rebounds For Elo Defensive Rebounds For Elo superseded Online player rating for contribution to own-team defensive rebounds. DReb For -0.08 | Prevent +0.12 | Net +0.04 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.08 (#2614) DReb For -0.08 | Prevent +0.12 | Net +0.04 | Min 162
Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo Defensive Rebound Prevention Elo superseded Online player rating for suppressing opponent defensive rebounds. DReb For -0.08 | Prevent +0.12 | Net +0.04 | Min 162 More β†’ +0.12 (#1558) DReb For -0.08 | Prevent +0.12 | Net +0.04 | Min 162
Defensive Rebound Net Elo Defensive Rebound Net Elo superseded Net defensive-rebound event Elo from defensive boards created plus denied. DReb For -0.08 | Prevent +0.12 | Net +0.04 | Min 162 More β†’ +0.04 (#2134) DReb For -0.08 | Prevent +0.12 | Net +0.04 | Min 162
Rebound Margin Elo Rebound Margin Elo superseded Net rebound-margin event Elo from rebounds created plus rebounds prevented. Reb For -0.30 | Prevent +0.11 | Net -0.19 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.19 (#2695) Reb For -0.30 | Prevent +0.11 | Net -0.19 | Min 162
Assists For Elo Assists For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team assist rate. Ast For +0.07 | Prevent -0.27 | Net -0.20 | Min 162 More β†’ +0.07 (#1696) Ast For +0.07 | Prevent -0.27 | Net -0.20 | Min 162
Assist Prevention Elo Assist Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's assist rate. Ast For +0.07 | Prevent -0.27 | Net -0.20 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.27 (#3390) Ast For +0.07 | Prevent -0.27 | Net -0.20 | Min 162
Assists Net Elo Assists Net Elo Net assist event Elo from assisted creation plus assisted-shot prevention. Ast For +0.07 | Prevent -0.27 | Net -0.20 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.20 (#2778) Ast For +0.07 | Prevent -0.27 | Net -0.20 | Min 162
Threes For Elo Threes For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team made-threes rate. 3PM For -0.06 | Prevent -0.03 | Net -0.08 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.06 (#2498) 3PM For -0.06 | Prevent -0.03 | Net -0.08 | Min 162
Three Prevention Elo Three Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing the opponent's made-threes rate. 3PM For -0.06 | Prevent -0.03 | Net -0.08 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.03 (#2553) 3PM For -0.06 | Prevent -0.03 | Net -0.08 | Min 162
Threes Net Elo Threes Net Elo Net made-three event Elo from threes created plus threes prevented. 3PM For -0.06 | Prevent -0.03 | Net -0.08 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.08 (#2602) 3PM For -0.06 | Prevent -0.03 | Net -0.08 | Min 162
Stocks For Elo Stocks For Elo Online player rating for contribution to team steals-plus-blocks rate. Stocks For +0.06 | Prevent -0.19 | Net -0.13 | Min 162 More β†’ +0.06 (#1753) Stocks For +0.06 | Prevent -0.19 | Net -0.13 | Min 162
Stocks Prevention Elo Stocks Prevention Elo Online player rating for suppressing opponent stocks. Stocks For +0.06 | Prevent -0.19 | Net -0.13 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.19 (#3299) Stocks For +0.06 | Prevent -0.19 | Net -0.13 | Min 162
Stocks Net Elo Stocks Net Elo Net stocks event Elo from stocks created plus stocks denied. Stocks For +0.06 | Prevent -0.19 | Net -0.13 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.13 (#2608) Stocks For +0.06 | Prevent -0.19 | Net -0.13 | Min 162
Ball Security Elo Ball Security Elo Online player rating for keeping own-team turnovers down. TOV For -0.30 | Prevent -0.17 | Net -0.47 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.30 (#3484) TOV For -0.30 | Prevent -0.17 | Net -0.47 | Min 162
Turnover Force Elo Turnover Force Elo Online player rating for forcing opponent turnovers. TOV For -0.30 | Prevent -0.17 | Net -0.47 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.17 (#2833) TOV For -0.30 | Prevent -0.17 | Net -0.47 | Min 162
Turnover Margin Elo Turnover Margin Elo Net turnover event Elo from ball security plus turnover force. TOV For -0.30 | Prevent -0.17 | Net -0.47 | Min 162 More β†’ -0.47 (#3396) TOV For -0.30 | Prevent -0.17 | Net -0.47 | Min 162

Shot Chart β€” 2025-2026

14/52 FG (26.9%), 36 points from the field Β· ESPN shot locations Β· compared with the 2025-2026 league average

made missed Β· 3 long heaves not drawn
75%3/4 38%3/8 0%0/1 33%1/3 0%0/3 24%5/21 40%2/5 0%0/7
FG% by zone: above below league average (zones with 5+ attempts)
Zone FGM FGA FG% League FG%+/- % of FGA
Restricted area 3 4 75.0 58.6 +16.4 7.7
Paint (non-RA) 3 8 37.5 40.9 -3.4 15.4
Mid-range left 0 1 0.0 32.4 -32.4 1.9
Mid-range center 0 0 - 35.8 - 0.0
Mid-range right 0 0 - 31.8 - 0.0
Left corner 3 1 3 33.3 33.0 +0.3 5.8
Right corner 3 0 3 0.0 32.6 -32.6 5.8
Above-break 3 left 5 21 23.8 30.7 -6.9 40.4
Above-break 3 center 2 5 40.0 30.4 +9.6 9.6
Above-break 3 right 0 7 0.0 30.9 -30.9 13.5

Career Stats

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 22 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals. Other career leagues are available through the league links above.

Season League Team GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers FG% 3P% FT% TS% eFG%
2025-2026 NCAAW St. John's Red Storm 22 8.8 1.7 0.6 1.2 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.4 0.6 26.9% 20.5% 25.0% 34.4 34.6
2024-2025 NCAAW St. John's Red Storm 25 7.6 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.8 2.1 0.7 23.1% 19.4% 63.6% 33.4 29.8

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Game Log

ESPN Β· NCAAW Β· completed source game rows, all recorded phases (including special games). Coverage reflects stored source games. Source phase breakdown: 22 unknown phase. These are not regular-season totals.

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
2026-03-19 @ Columbia Lions L 26-74 31 1-8 1-6 0-2 2 3 2 0 5 3 -3.0 -29.4
2026-03-07 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 61-63 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 3 5.0 +5.4
2026-03-06 vs Xavier Musketeers W 53-48 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 -0.0
2026-03-01 vs UConn Huskies L 49-85 18 1-5 0-4 0-0 1 4 2 0 3 2 1.0 +1.9
2026-02-22 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 59-56 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1.0 +0.3
2026-02-07 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 67-61 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0 -1.8
2026-02-04 vs Xavier Musketeers W 71-52 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1.0 -1.6
2026-01-31 @ Providence Friars W 62-57 9 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 2 1 1.0 +5.9
2026-01-28 @ Creighton Bluejays L 51-81 6 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1.0 -
2026-01-21 vs Marquette Golden Eag L 55-56 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 -
2026-01-17 @ Xavier Musketeers W 66-64 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 6 4.0 +7.2
2026-01-13 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 34-59 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3.0 -5.9
2026-01-01 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 75-58 9 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 5 5 1.0 -
2025-12-10 @ Stony Brook Seawolve W 73-42 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 5.0 +12.6
2025-12-07 vs Providence Friars W 62-55 5 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.0 -13.2
2025-12-04 vs Creighton Bluejays L 52-60 9 1-5 0-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -2.0 -
2025-11-29 vs Memphis Tigers W 84-73 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 2 2.0 +4.2
2025-11-28 @ Georgia Tech Yellow W 77-75 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 3 5.0 -0.9
2025-11-24 vs Central Connecticut W 71-46 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.0 -
2025-11-14 vs Yale Bulldogs W 88-60 16 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 2 1.0 -0.6
2025-11-07 @ Harvard Crimson L 56-61 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 0.0 -
2025-11-03 vs Le Moyne Dolphins W 68-53 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0 -